Applied Materials (AMAT) Dividend Capture: 0.14% per event (0.5% annualized)
Applied Materials (AMAT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMAT sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 21, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.53.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.06-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.06-0.10 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.41%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 60%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.38%+0.32pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 2
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Per-event yield
- 0.14%
- Annualized yield
- 0.46%
- Previously paid
- Feb 19, 2026 ($0.46)
- Last record date
- Feb 19, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 12, 2026
How AMAT ranks in Technology
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (48 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#40of 48
Beats ~17% of peers on this metric
AMAT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Applied Materials (AMAT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.46 | -1.92% | $369.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.61% | +1.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | 1.56% | $235.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.35% | +7.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.63% | $160.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.03% | +2.96% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.95% | $162.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.40% | -3.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 0.62% | $174.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.08% | -9.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.43% | $170.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.01% | +2.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.23% | $209.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.15% | -7.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.33% | $219.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.95% | -1.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -0.65% | $189.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +4.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | 1.19% | $149.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.06% | +0.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -0.57% | $147.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.66% | +2.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | -2.06% | $124.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.46% | +8.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.14% | $111.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.62% | +5.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -0.67% | $107.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | +0.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.67% | $101.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.66% | -7.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -1.43% | $106.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +10.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -2.56% | $133.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.68% | -2.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.36% | $148.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.30% | -1.47% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | 0.08% | $131.44 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +1.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 0.34% | $137.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.13% | -0.64% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.46
- Gap %
- -1.92%
- Pre-ex close
- $369.30
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.61%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.86%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.46
- Gap %
- 1.56%
- Pre-ex close
- $235.13
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.35%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.48%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.46
- Gap %
- -0.63%
- Pre-ex close
- $160.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.03%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.96%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.46
- Gap %
- -0.95%
- Pre-ex close
- $162.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.40%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.09%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.40
- Gap %
- 0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $174.06
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -14.08%
- P&L 5d %
- -9.78%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.40
- Gap %
- 0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $170.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.01%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.71%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.40
- Gap %
- -0.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $209.12
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -15.15%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.53%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.40
- Gap %
- 0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $219.80
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.95%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.30%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- -0.65%
- Pre-ex close
- $189.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.72%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.61%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- 1.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $149.25
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.06%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.57%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- -0.57%
- Pre-ex close
- $147.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.66%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.31%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- -2.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $124.49
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.56%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $111.28
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.62%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.61%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $107.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.21%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $101.93
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.66%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.46%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -1.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $106.59
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.43%
- P&L 5d %
- +10.32%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -2.56%
- Pre-ex close
- $133.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.68%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.62%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $148.92
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.30%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.47%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $131.44
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.00%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.72%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $137.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.13%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.64%
AMAT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1995%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
95% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
AMAT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AMAT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $106.00
- After-tax dividend
- $68.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$73.86
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-4.96
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.01%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.01%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-0.3%
AMAT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AMAT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMAT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.17% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.12% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See AMAT seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for AMAT?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Applied Materials (AMAT), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take AMAT to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, AMAT touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 2 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on AMAT large enough to capture?
AMAT has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.06 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for AMAT?
The next ex-dividend date for Applied Materials (AMAT) is May 21, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does AMAT compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Technology, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. AMAT sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does AMAT dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.
