Amgen (AMGN) Dividend Capture: 0.69% per event (3.0% annualized)
AMGN
Amgen (AMGN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.32), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMGN sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.52.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.32+0.17 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 90%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.32+0.17 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.57%-0.23pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 50%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.77%-0.39pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 27
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $2.52
- Per-event yield
- 0.69%
- Annualized yield
- 2.97%
- Previously paid
- Feb 13, 2026 ($2.52)
- Last record date
- Feb 13, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 6, 2026
How AMGN ranks in Healthcare
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (40 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#30of 40
Beats ~25% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 40
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#12of 40
Beats ~70% of peers on this metric
AMGN Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Amgen (AMGN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $2.52 | -0.97% | $366.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +4.30% | |
| Q4 | $2.38 | -0.36% | $336.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +1.13% | |
| Q3 | $2.38 | -0.09% | $295.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.75% | -1.92% | |
| Q2 | $2.38 | -0.38% | $271.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +0.86% | |
| Q1 | $2.38 | -0.75% | $296.97 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +5.09% | |
| Q4 | $2.25 | -1.49% | $283.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.10% | +4.46% | |
| Q3 | $2.25 | -0.53% | $325.39 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +1.74% | |
| Q2 | $2.25 | -1.38% | $319.04 | 27 | no | yes | -7.38% | -3.23% | |
| Q1 | $2.25 | -0.76% | $290.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.74% | +0.47% | |
| Q4 | $2.13 | -0.15% | $273.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.58% | -1.99% | |
| Q3 | $2.13 | -0.43% | $265.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.85% | -2.37% | |
| Q2 | $2.13 | -0.82% | $227.88 | 21 | no | yes | -5.88% | -1.94% | |
| Q1 | $2.13 | -0.39% | $243.66 | >30 | no | no | -4.95% | -2.20% | |
| Q4 | $1.94 | 0.15% | $283.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.61% | |
| Q3 | $1.94 | -0.77% | $253.15 | >30 | no | no | -5.98% | -2.65% | |
| Q2 | $1.94 | -0.89% | $243.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +3.11% | |
| Q1 | $1.94 | -0.70% | $228.20 | 12 | no | yes | -6.05% | -2.13% | |
| Q4 | $1.76 | -0.33% | $211.39 | 15 | no | yes | -5.14% | -3.26% | |
| Q3 | $1.76 | -0.62% | $229.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.14% | -0.99% | |
| Q2 | $1.76 | 0.33% | $252.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.94% | +0.28% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.52
- Gap %
- -0.97%
- Pre-ex close
- $366.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.23%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.30%
Q4
- Dividend
- $2.38
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $336.07
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.13%
Q3
- Dividend
- $2.38
- Gap %
- -0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $295.76
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.75%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.92%
Q2
- Dividend
- $2.38
- Gap %
- -0.38%
- Pre-ex close
- $271.69
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.86%
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.38
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $296.97
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.68%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.09%
Q4
- Dividend
- $2.25
- Gap %
- -1.49%
- Pre-ex close
- $283.61
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.10%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.46%
Q3
- Dividend
- $2.25
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $325.39
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.50%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.74%
Q2
- Dividend
- $2.25
- Gap %
- -1.38%
- Pre-ex close
- $319.04
- High touch (td)
- 27
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.38%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.23%
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.25
- Gap %
- -0.76%
- Pre-ex close
- $290.07
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.47%
Q4
- Dividend
- $2.13
- Gap %
- -0.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $273.03
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.58%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.99%
Q3
- Dividend
- $2.13
- Gap %
- -0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $265.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.85%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.37%
Q2
- Dividend
- $2.13
- Gap %
- -0.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $227.88
- High touch (td)
- 21
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.88%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.94%
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.13
- Gap %
- -0.39%
- Pre-ex close
- $243.66
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -4.95%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.20%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.94
- Gap %
- 0.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $283.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.65%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.61%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.94
- Gap %
- -0.77%
- Pre-ex close
- $253.15
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -5.98%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.65%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.94
- Gap %
- -0.89%
- Pre-ex close
- $243.40
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.70%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.11%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.94
- Gap %
- -0.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $228.20
- High touch (td)
- 12
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.05%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.13%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.76
- Gap %
- -0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $211.39
- High touch (td)
- 15
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.14%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.26%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.76
- Gap %
- -0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $229.68
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.14%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.99%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.76
- Gap %
- 0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $252.07
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.94%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.28%
AMGN Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1155%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days15%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days420%
- 30+210%
55% within 1d · 70% within 5d · 90% within 30d
AMGN Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AMGN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $504.00
- After-tax dividend
- $327.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$73.24
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$254.36
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.35%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~17.5%
AMGN Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AMGN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMGN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.70% | |
| +0.77% | |
| -3.26% | |
| -2.13% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -2.65% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -2.20% | |
| -1.94% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -3.23% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.69% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See AMGN seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for AMGN?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Amgen (AMGN), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take AMGN to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, AMGN touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 27 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on AMGN large enough to capture?
AMGN has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.32 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for AMGN?
The next ex-dividend date for Amgen (AMGN) is May 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does AMGN compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Healthcare, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 100%. AMGN sits at 90% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does AMGN dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.