AMGN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Amgen (AMGN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.32), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMGN sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 21, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.52.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.32
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.32 | +0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.58% | -0.25pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.56% | -0.25pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$2.52
Per-event yield
0.75%
Annualized yield
2.62%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($2.52)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 5, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Amgen (AMGN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $2.52 | 0.00% | $336.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +1.66% | |
| Q1 | $2.52 | -0.97% | $366.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +4.30% | |
| Q4 | $2.38 | -0.36% | $336.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +1.13% | |
| Q3 | $2.38 | -0.09% | $295.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.75% | -1.92% | |
| Q2 | $2.38 | -0.38% | $271.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +0.86% | |
| Q1 | $2.38 | -0.75% | $296.97 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +5.09% | |
| Q4 | $2.25 | -1.49% | $283.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.10% | +4.46% | |
| Q3 | $2.25 | -0.53% | $325.39 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +1.74% | |
| Q2 | $2.25 | -1.38% | $319.04 | 27 | no | yes | -7.38% | -3.23% | |
| Q1 | $2.25 | -0.76% | $290.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.74% | +0.47% | |
| Q4 | $2.13 | -0.15% | $273.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.58% | -1.99% | |
| Q3 | $2.13 | -0.43% | $265.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.85% | -2.37% | |
| Q2 | $2.13 | -0.82% | $227.88 | 21 | no | yes | -5.88% | -1.94% | |
| Q1 | $2.13 | -0.39% | $243.66 | >30 | no | no | -4.95% | -2.20% | |
| Q4 | $1.94 | 0.15% | $283.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.61% | |
| Q3 | $1.94 | -0.77% | $253.15 | >30 | no | no | -5.98% | -2.65% | |
| Q2 | $1.94 | -0.89% | $243.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +3.11% | |
| Q1 | $1.94 | -0.70% | $228.20 | 12 | no | yes | -6.05% | -2.13% | |
| Q4 | $1.76 | -0.33% | $211.39 | 15 | no | yes | -5.14% | -3.26% | |
| Q3 | $1.76 | -0.62% | $229.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.14% | -0.99% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with AMGN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AMGN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.23%
Win rate (20 trades)
70%
Cumulative P&L
-4.70%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+60.95%
Best event
+0.88%
Worst event
-3.26%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMGN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.77% | |
| -3.26% | |
| -2.13% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -2.65% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -2.20% | |
| -1.94% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -3.23% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.75% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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