AUB dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AUB sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.37.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.33
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.33 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.09% | -0.51pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.29% | +0.11pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.37
Per-event yield
0.98%
Annualized yield
3.46%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.37)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 5, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.37 | -0.45% | $37.67 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.74% | -1.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | -1.09% | $40.30 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.08% | -2.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -1.56% | $32.73 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.68% | +1.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -1.41% | $31.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.73% | +3.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -4.19% | $29.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.19% | +2.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.05% | $37.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.30% | -6.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.10% | $41.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +2.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -1.14% | $36.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.40% | +2.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | -1.05% | $33.49 | 28 | no | yes | -7.26% | -1.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -1.29% | $33.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.08% | +5.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -1.18% | $30.44 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.94% | +4.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.43% | $32.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.30% | -6.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.28% | $25.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.21% | +0.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -1.02% | $39.25 | 17 | no | yes | -5.15% | -2.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -1.46% | $34.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +1.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.29% | $34.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +5.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -2.15% | $34.41 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +2.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -0.52% | $40.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.59% | +1.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.73% | $36.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.18% | -3.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.45% | $38.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.39% | -2.60% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with AUB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AUB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.62%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+12.46%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+15.42%
Best event
+1.17%
Worst event
-2.62%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AUB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.74% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.88% | |
| -2.62% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +0.96% | |
| -1.61% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.98% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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