AVY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Avery Dennison (AVY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.23), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AVY sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 2, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.00.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.23
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.23 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.65% | -0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.43% | +1.07pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.00
Per-event yield
0.64%
Annualized yield
2.25%
Previously paid
Jun 3, 2026 ($1.00)
Last record date
Jun 3, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 17, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Avery Dennison (AVY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.98% | $157.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.94% | +0.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -0.63% | $190.64 | >30 | no | no | -11.33% | -7.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -0.38% | $172.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.69% | +3.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -0.98% | $169.31 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.20% | -2.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | -0.20% | $179.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | -0.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | -0.23% | $181.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.54% | -1.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.90% | $205.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.40% | -3.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | -0.19% | $219.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | -0.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.88 | -0.41% | $227.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.33% | +0.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.81 | -0.46% | $216.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +0.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.81 | -0.98% | $195.52 | 7 | no | yes | -2.80% | -1.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.81 | -0.98% | $189.02 | >30 | no | no | -5.15% | -3.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.81 | -0.80% | $166.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.23% | +1.83% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -0.81% | $181.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.69% | -1.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.37% | $191.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.31% | -2.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | 0.35% | $185.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.23% | -0.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -1.47% | $173.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.76% | +5.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.11% | $176.20 | 21 | no | yes | -11.17% | -9.42% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -1.28% | $215.53 | 6 | no | yes | -6.06% | +0.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -0.25% | $226.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | -0.45% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with AVY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AVY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.79%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
-15.71%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-23.90%
Best event
+0.64%
Worst event
-9.42%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AVY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.17% | |
| -9.42% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.49% | |
| -3.35% | |
| -1.93% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -7.94% | |
| +0.64% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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