BF-B dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Brown-Forman (BF-B) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.20), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BF-B sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 11, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.20
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.20 | -0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.66% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 25% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -7.09% | -3.10pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
Dividend
$0.23
Per-event yield
0.86%
Annualized yield
3.47%
Previously paid
Jun 10, 2026 ($0.23)
Last record date
Jun 10, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Brown-Forman (BF-B). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.23 | -0.82% | $26.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.46% | -3.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -1.98% | $25.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -10.49% | -7.72% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -0.94% | $29.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +4.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -1.44% | $29.14 | >30 | no | no | -7.76% | -5.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.25% | $28.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.18% | -6.98% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.36% | $35.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.85% | -2.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -0.53% | $45.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.10% | -0.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.90% | $45.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +0.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -1.05% | $43.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.37% | -0.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.12% | $56.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.94% | -4.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.27% | $58.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.54% | -6.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | 0.51% | $66.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.11% | -1.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | 0.64% | $62.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +4.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.36% | $67.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.84% | -7.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | 0.40% | $73.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.24% | -6.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | 0.48% | $72.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.42% | +1.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -1.39% | $66.40 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.97% | -1.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.13% | $69.99 | >30 | no | no | -10.94% | -10.63% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -5.20% | $73.45 | >30 | no | no | -7.34% | -0.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | 0.00% | $70.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +0.18% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with BF-B's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical BF-B ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.43%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-8.62%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-55.29%
Best event
+0.91%
Worst event
-10.63%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BF-B (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.27% | |
| -0.63% | |
| -10.63% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.81% | |
| -5.64% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.86% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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