C dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Citigroup (C) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, C sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 2, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.33
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.33 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.21% | -0.63pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 53% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.75% | +0.65pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.67
Per-event yield
0.51%
Annualized yield
1.85%
Previously paid
Aug 3, 2026 ($0.67)
Last record date
Aug 3, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 28, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Citigroup (C). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.67 | 0.02% | $132.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.46% | $127.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.70% | -0.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | -0.65% | $115.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.33% | +7.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.50% | $101.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.81% | +0.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -0.09% | $91.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.34% | +1.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.56 | -1.86% | $70.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.01% | +6.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.56 | -3.60% | $81.43 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.58% | -0.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | -1.13% | $63.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +10.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.56 | -7.96% | $58.76 | 8 | no | yes | -8.93% | -0.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.05% | $61.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.21% | +4.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.82% | $56.06 | 14 | no | yes | -6.81% | -2.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | 0.51% | $41.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.15% | +3.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -1.04% | $46.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.92% | -2.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -1.79% | $47.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.27% | -0.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -2.30% | $52.22 | 20 | no | yes | -5.88% | -3.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | 0.07% | $44.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.70% | +13.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.98% | $52.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.87% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.72% | $50.02 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.24% | +4.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.34% | $65.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.61% | +3.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.56% | $70.88 | >30 | no | no | -6.15% | -4.77% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with C's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical C ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.11%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+2.20%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+103.96%
Best event
+1.28%
Worst event
-4.77%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · C (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -4.77% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +1.14% | |
| -3.06% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.28% | |
| -2.75% | |
| +0.86% | |
| -0.61% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.51% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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