CAH dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Cardinal Health (CAH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CAH sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 1, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.27
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.27 | +0.12 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.36% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.88% | +1.43pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.52
Per-event yield
0.22%
Annualized yield
0.86%
Previously paid
Jul 1, 2026 ($0.52)
Last record date
Jul 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Cardinal Health (CAH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.52 | 0.55% | $237.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.49% | -1.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | 0.02% | $211.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +2.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.45% | $205.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.70% | -1.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.73% | $156.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | +0.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.27% | $168.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.70% | -1.92% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.15% | $137.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.38% | -8.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.02% | $118.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.63% | +3.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.05% | $110.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +2.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.15% | $98.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.24% | -1.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.25% | $112.54 | >30 | no | no | -5.51% | -1.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | 0.10% | $100.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.12% | +5.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.97% | $86.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.15% | +5.08% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.13% | $93.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +0.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.11% | $75.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.62% | +6.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.85% | $77.72 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.06% | +0.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.27% | $67.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +1.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -1.55% | $53.69 | 6 | no | yes | -4.41% | -0.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.09% | $57.63 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.22% | +3.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.75% | $52.17 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.19% | +4.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.17% | $51.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.51% | -4.07% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with CAH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CAH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.35%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+7.09%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+380.25%
Best event
+0.95%
Worst event
-1.88%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CAH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.95% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -0.51% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.50% | |
| -1.88% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.22% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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