Cigna (CI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CI sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 3, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.21+0.06 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | +0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.30% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.59% | +0.81pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $1.56 |
| Per-event yield | 0.55% |
| Annualized yield | 2.19% |
| Previously paid | Mar 5, 2026 ($1.56) |
| Last record date | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 19, 2026 |
CI Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Cigna (CI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.56 | -1.37% | $284.74 | >30 | no | no | -9.34% | -6.08% | |
| Q4 | $1.51 | -0.12% | $270.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.46% | +1.28% | |
| Q3 | $1.51 | -0.41% | $300.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +2.30% | |
| Q2 | $1.51 | -0.85% | $314.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +0.04% | |
| Q1 | $1.51 | -0.97% | $308.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.00% | +1.20% | |
| Q4 | $1.40 | -0.48% | $334.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -21.76% | -11.79% | |
| Q3 | $1.40 | 0.25% | $365.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.56% | -1.72% | |
| Q2 | $1.40 | -0.95% | $341.49 | 14 | no | yes | -3.77% | -0.63% | |
| Q1 | $1.40 | -0.18% | $336.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.42% | +2.54% | |
| Q4 | $1.23 | -0.24% | $262.91 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +13.32% | |
| Q3 | $1.23 | -0.08% | $276.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.64% | +4.01% | |
| Q2 | $1.23 | 1.62% | $262.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.85% | +4.09% | |
| Q1 | $1.23 | -0.01% | $288.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.38% | -5.24% | |
| Q4 | $1.12 | -1.03% | $327.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +4.04% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | -0.39% | $287.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.11% | +0.08% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | -0.44% | $258.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.05% | -4.45% | |
| Q1 | $1.12 | -1.16% | $237.85 | 7 | no | yes | -5.73% | -1.53% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | 1.43% | $199.86 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.88% | +8.15% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.39% | $216.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.42% | -5.66% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | 0.43% | $252.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.61% | -4.88% |
- -6.08%
- +1.28%
- +2.30%
- +0.04%
- +1.20%
- -11.79%
- -1.72%
- -0.63%
- +2.54%
- +13.32%
- +4.01%
- +4.09%
- -5.24%
- +4.04%
- +0.08%
- -4.45%
- -1.53%
- +8.15%
- -5.66%
- -4.88%
CI Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
CI Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $312.00
- After-tax dividend
- $202.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$56.95
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$145.85
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.26%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~12.9%
CI Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.40% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.50% | |
| -1.53% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.42% | |
| -0.63% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -6.08% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.