CMCSA dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Comcast (CMCSA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.39), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CMCSA sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Oct 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.33.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.39
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.39 | +0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.99% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.34% | +1.59pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.33
Per-event yield
1.34%
Annualized yield
5.37%
Previously paid
Jul 1, 2026 ($0.33)
Last record date
Jul 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 22, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Comcast (CMCSA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.33 | -1.22% | $24.55 | 12 | no | yes | -7.13% | -3.54% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.67% | $28.71 | 11 | no | yes | -4.28% | -0.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -1.51% | $28.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +3.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -1.21% | $31.42 | >30 | no | no | -6.46% | -1.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | -1.16% | $36.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -1.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.12% | $36.72 | >30 | no | no | -12.31% | -3.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -1.08% | $37.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.77% | -1.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.74% | $41.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +0.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -1.07% | $38.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.67% | -0.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.24% | $42.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.50% | -4.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.66% | $43.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.10% | -0.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.39% | $44.49 | 6 | no | yes | -4.72% | +0.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -1.37% | $41.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +1.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.16% | $38.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | -0.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.09% | $34.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +9.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.46% | $30.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.31% | -5.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -2.33% | $40.29 | 6 | no | yes | -3.43% | -0.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -1.43% | $48.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | -1.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.06% | $50.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +1.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.79% | $56.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.28% | -7.40% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with CMCSA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CMCSA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.11%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
+2.30%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-47.71%
Best event
+1.16%
Worst event
-3.54%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CMCSA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.44% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -0.67% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -3.30% | |
| +0.91% | |
| -1.02% | |
| +1.16% | |
| -0.24% | |
| -3.54% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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