Comcast (CMCSA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.38), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CMCSA sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.33.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.38+0.11 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.38 | +0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.96% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.34% | +1.41pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.33 |
| Per-event yield | 1.15% |
| Annualized yield | 5.88% |
| Previously paid | Apr 1, 2026 ($0.33) |
| Last record date | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 22, 2026 |
CMCSA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Comcast (CMCSA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.57% | $28.71 | 11 | no | yes | -4.28% | -0.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -1.51% | $28.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +3.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -1.21% | $31.42 | >30 | no | no | -6.46% | -1.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | -1.16% | $36.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -1.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.12% | $36.72 | >30 | no | no | -12.31% | -3.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -1.08% | $37.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.77% | -1.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.74% | $41.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +0.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -1.07% | $38.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.67% | -0.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.24% | $42.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.50% | -4.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.66% | $43.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.10% | -0.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.39% | $44.49 | 6 | no | yes | -4.72% | +0.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -1.37% | $41.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +1.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.16% | $38.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | -0.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.09% | $34.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +9.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.46% | $30.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.31% | -5.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -2.33% | $40.29 | 6 | no | yes | -3.43% | -0.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -1.43% | $48.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | -1.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.06% | $50.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +1.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.79% | $56.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.28% | -7.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.74% | $58.42 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.59% | -0.60% |
- -0.24%
- +3.79%
- -1.02%
- -1.60%
- -3.30%
- -1.51%
- +0.02%
- -0.26%
- -4.30%
- -0.64%
- +0.61%
- +1.81%
- -0.21%
- +9.09%
- -5.48%
- -0.67%
- -1.23%
- +1.28%
- -7.40%
- -0.60%
CMCSA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
CMCSA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CMCSA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $66.00
- After-tax dividend
- $42.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$5.74
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$37.16
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.65%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~32.6%
CMCSA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CMCSA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CMCSA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -0.67% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -3.30% | |
| +0.91% | |
| -1.02% | |
| +1.16% | |
| -0.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.