CRH (CRH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 16 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.28), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CRH sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.28+0.07 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 16 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.28 | +0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.71% | -0.29pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.52% | -0.81pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.39 |
| Per-event yield | 0.35% |
| Annualized yield | 1.47% |
| Previously paid | Mar 6, 2026 ($0.39) |
| Last record date | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 8, 2026 |
CRH Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for CRH (CRH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.39 | -2.79% | $111.10 | 23 | no | yes | -10.86% | -9.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | 0.10% | $108.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.71% | +10.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -0.03% | $110.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +2.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | -2.30% | $95.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.63% | -3.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | 1.17% | $94.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.93% | +0.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.40% | $100.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.50% | +2.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | 0.47% | $88.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.91% | +3.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | 0.14% | $80.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.16% | +2.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -0.28% | $84.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +1.65% | |
| Q4 | $1.08 | 0.15% | $67.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.83% | +3.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.59% | $55.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.08% | -5.37% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | -1.35% | $48.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +4.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -2.48% | $36.69 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.20% | -3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | 0.55% | $43.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.95% | -0.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -3.52% | $42.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.08% | +8.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.14% | $51.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.95% | +1.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -2.15% | $47.05 | 10 | no | yes | -6.95% | -1.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -2.09% | $37.79 | 6 | no | yes | -5.87% | -0.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -8.95% | $29.62 | 21 | no | yes | -40.14% | -33.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.15% | $34.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +2.86% |
- -9.80%
- +10.78%
- +2.35%
- -3.99%
- +0.44%
- +2.30%
- +3.38%
- +2.32%
- +1.65%
- +3.32%
- -5.37%
- +4.67%
- -3.13%
- -0.53%
- +8.74%
- +1.03%
- -1.13%
- -0.65%
- -33.61%
- +2.86%
CRH Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
CRH Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CRH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $78.00
- After-tax dividend
- $50.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$22.22
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$28.48
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.13%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.5%
CRH Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CRH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CRH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.65% | |
| -33.61% | |
| -0.65% | |
| -1.13% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +2.32% | |
| +2.24% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +2.14% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +1.61% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -9.80% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.