Carlisle Companies (CSL) Dividend Capture: 0.27% per event (1.2% annualized)
Carlisle Companies (CSL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CSL sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 18, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.10.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.11-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.11-0.08 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.34%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 50%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.80%+0.17pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 6
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Per-event yield
- 0.27%
- Annualized yield
- 1.24%
- Previously paid
- Feb 17, 2026 ($1.10)
- Last record date
- Feb 17, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 2, 2026
How CSL ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#42of 87
Beats ~52% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#64of 87
Beats ~26% of peers on this metric
CSL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Carlisle Companies (CSL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.10 | -0.71% | $409.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.08% | -0.02% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | 0.74% | $315.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.13% | -1.74% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -0.19% | $378.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +4.25% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.99% | $408.50 | >30 | no | no | -9.74% | -2.10% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -0.04% | $357.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.59% | -4.89% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -0.69% | $450.58 | 6 | no | yes | -5.02% | +0.02% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.06% | $408.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +2.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.85 | 0.16% | $415.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +3.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.85 | 0.10% | $347.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +2.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.85 | 2.02% | $269.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.13% | +1.62% | |
| Q3 | $0.85 | -0.46% | $281.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.54% | -7.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -1.11% | $213.45 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.91% | -0.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -1.45% | $260.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | -0.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.83% | $242.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +5.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -1.24% | $315.59 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.67% | -1.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | -0.53% | $245.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.33% | +1.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -1.19% | $238.76 | 6 | no | yes | -6.86% | +0.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.46% | $239.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.41% | -0.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -0.69% | $209.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.94% | -0.68% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | 0.81% | $193.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.69% | +0.34% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $409.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.08%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.02%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- 0.74%
- Pre-ex close
- $315.95
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.13%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.74%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -0.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $378.05
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.51%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.25%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- -0.99%
- Pre-ex close
- $408.50
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -9.74%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.10%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- -0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $357.81
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.89%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $450.58
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.02%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.02%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- -0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $408.13
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.27%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.85
- Gap %
- 0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $415.05
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.66%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.31%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.85
- Gap %
- 0.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $347.42
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.39%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.79%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.85
- Gap %
- 2.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $269.92
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.13%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.62%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.85
- Gap %
- -0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $281.87
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.02%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -1.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $213.45
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.91%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.58%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -1.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $260.79
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.02%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.97%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -0.83%
- Pre-ex close
- $242.06
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.33%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.92%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -1.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $315.59
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.67%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.71%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $245.65
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.33%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.53%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -1.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $238.76
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.86%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.84%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $239.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.12%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $209.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.94%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.68%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Gap %
- 0.81%
- Pre-ex close
- $193.13
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.69%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.34%
CSL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1575%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+15%
75% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 95% within 30d
CSL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CSL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $220.00
- After-tax dividend
- $143.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$81.81
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$61.19
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.07%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.8%
CSL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CSL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CSL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.27% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -2.10% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.27% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See CSL seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for CSL?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Carlisle Companies (CSL), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take CSL to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, CSL touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 6 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on CSL large enough to capture?
CSL has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.11 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for CSL?
The next ex-dividend date for Carlisle Companies (CSL) is May 18, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does CSL compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. CSL sits at 95% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does CSL dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.