Corteva (CTVA) Dividend Capture: 0.22% per event (0.9% annualized)
CTVA
Corteva (CTVA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CTVA sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.18.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.13-0.07 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.13-0.07 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.36%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 35%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.81%-0.18pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 30
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Per-event yield
- 0.22%
- Annualized yield
- 0.86%
- Previously paid
- Mar 2, 2026 ($0.18)
- Last record date
- Mar 2, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 16, 2026
How CTVA ranks in Basic Materials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (28 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 28
Beats ~96% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 28
Beats ~96% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#20of 28
Beats ~29% of peers on this metric
CTVA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Corteva (CTVA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.18 | -0.26% | $80.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.57% | -2.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.47% | $67.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -3.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.63% | $74.19 | 9 | no | yes | -6.62% | -2.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.16% | $70.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.92% | +1.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | 0.13% | $62.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.76% | -4.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.02% | $62.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.57% | -3.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -1.48% | $57.30 | 12 | no | yes | -5.88% | -3.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.16 | -1.15% | $55.57 | 30 | no | yes | -10.01% | -6.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | -0.11% | $54.54 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +0.20% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | -0.09% | $45.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.54% | -1.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | 0.00% | $51.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.72% | -2.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.80% | $54.97 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.02% | +5.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -0.61% | $62.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.29% | +1.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 1.46% | $67.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.91% | -2.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.67% | $60.09 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.07% | +4.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.14 | -1.06% | $53.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +10.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.14 | -1.60% | $51.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -0.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.14 | -0.84% | $47.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.73% | +1.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.14 | -0.28% | $45.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.53% | -6.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | 0.04% | $45.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.41% | -2.04% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.26%
- Pre-ex close
- $80.12
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.57%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.05%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $67.47
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.99%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.26%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.63%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.19
- High touch (td)
- 9
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.04%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- -0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.80
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.92%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.95%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- 0.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $62.98
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.76%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.08%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- 0.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $62.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.57%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.74%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- -1.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $57.30
- High touch (td)
- 12
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.88%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.05%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.16
- Gap %
- -1.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.57
- High touch (td)
- 30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.01%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.78%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.16
- Gap %
- -0.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $54.54
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.37%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.20%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.16
- Gap %
- -0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $45.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.85%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.16
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.26
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.72%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.97%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- -0.80%
- Pre-ex close
- $54.97
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.02%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.95%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- -0.61%
- Pre-ex close
- $62.11
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.29%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.63%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- 1.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $67.05
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.91%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.19%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- 0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.09
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.04%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.14
- Gap %
- -1.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $53.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.72%
- P&L 5d %
- +10.34%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.14
- Gap %
- -1.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.84
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.40%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.93%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.14
- Gap %
- -0.84%
- Pre-ex close
- $47.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.73%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.34%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.14
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $45.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.53%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.67%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- 0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $45.18
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.04%
CTVA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1575%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days15%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days210%
- 30+00%
75% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 100% within 30d
CTVA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CTVA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $36.00
- After-tax dividend
- $23.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$16.02
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$7.38
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.05%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~2.3%
CTVA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CTVA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CTVA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.29% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.29% | |
| -6.78% | |
| -3.05% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.24% | |
| -2.04% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.22% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See CTVA seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for CTVA?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Corteva (CTVA), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take CTVA to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, CTVA touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 30 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on CTVA large enough to capture?
CTVA has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.13 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for CTVA?
The next ex-dividend date for Corteva (CTVA) is Jun 1, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does CTVA compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Basic Materials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. CTVA sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does CTVA dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.