eBay (EBAY) Dividend Capture: 0.33% per event (1.1% annualized)
EBAY
eBay (EBAY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EBAY sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 29, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.31.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.16-0.05 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.16-0.05 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.08%+0.33pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.71%+0.97pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 3
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Per-event yield
- 0.33%
- Annualized yield
- 1.14%
- Previously paid
- Mar 6, 2026 ($0.31)
- Last record date
- Mar 6, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 20, 2026
How EBAY ranks in Consumer Cyclical
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (44 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 44
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 44
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#27of 44
Beats ~39% of peers on this metric
EBAY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for eBay (EBAY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.31 | -0.33% | $93.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | -1.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.27% | $82.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +0.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.28% | $92.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.23% | +0.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.44% | $72.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +8.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | 0.67% | $64.25 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.11% | +2.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.47% | $64.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.90% | -0.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.12% | $58.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +1.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.49% | $53.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.27% | -0.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.20% | $50.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +3.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.05% | $40.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +2.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.34% | $44.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.34% | -2.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.83% | $43.62 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.69% | +3.87% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.54% | $44.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.33% | -5.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.16% | $43.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -0.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.54% | $44.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.78% | +0.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.78% | $48.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.60% | -2.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 1.16% | $53.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.21% | +3.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.31% | $70.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.10% | -4.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.08% | $77.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.41% | -4.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | 0.76% | $59.51 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.25% | +10.28% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- -0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $93.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.73%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.49%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- 0.27%
- Pre-ex close
- $82.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.76%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.33%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $92.80
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.23%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.55%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.44%
- Pre-ex close
- $72.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.56%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.47%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- 0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $64.25
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.11%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.83%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $64.31
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.90%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.65%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $58.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.39%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.88%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.49%
- Pre-ex close
- $53.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.27%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.00%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $50.78
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.18%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.33%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- 0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $40.64
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.13%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.68%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $44.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.39%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.83%
- Pre-ex close
- $43.62
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.69%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.87%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $44.26
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.33%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.78%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $43.77
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.35%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.89%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $44.45
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.78%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.04%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.78%
- Pre-ex close
- $48.82
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.60%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.23%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 1.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $53.31
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.15%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.55
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.10%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.45%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.55
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.44%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- 0.76%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.51
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +10.28%
EBAY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1995%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
95% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
EBAY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EBAY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $62.00
- After-tax dividend
- $40.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$18.61
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$21.69
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.9%
EBAY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EBAY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EBAY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See EBAY seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for EBAY?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for eBay (EBAY), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take EBAY to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, EBAY touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 3 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on EBAY large enough to capture?
EBAY has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.16 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for EBAY?
The next ex-dividend date for eBay (EBAY) is May 29, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does EBAY compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Consumer Cyclical, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. EBAY sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does EBAY dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.