EBAY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
eBay (EBAY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EBAY sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 28, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.16
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.16 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.17% | +0.25pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.03% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.31
Per-event yield
0.28%
Annualized yield
1.10%
Previously paid
May 29, 2026 ($0.31)
Last record date
May 29, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 12, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for eBay (EBAY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.99% | $112.13 | 23 | no | yes | -5.64% | -2.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -0.33% | $93.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | -1.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.27% | $82.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +0.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.28% | $92.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.23% | +0.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.44% | $72.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +8.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | 0.67% | $64.25 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.11% | +2.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.47% | $64.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.90% | -0.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.12% | $58.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +1.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.49% | $53.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.27% | -0.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.20% | $50.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +3.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.05% | $40.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +2.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.34% | $44.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.34% | -2.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.83% | $43.62 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.69% | +3.87% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.54% | $44.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.33% | -5.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.16% | $43.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -0.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.54% | $44.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.78% | +0.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.78% | $48.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.60% | -2.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 1.16% | $53.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.21% | +3.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.31% | $70.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.10% | -4.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.08% | $77.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.41% | -4.44% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with EBAY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical EBAY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.31%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+6.22%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+47.48%
Best event
+0.62%
Worst event
-2.20%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EBAY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.23% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% | |
| -2.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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