Elevance Health (ELV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ELV sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 10, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.16in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.16 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.05% | +0.28pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.39% | +1.01pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
| Dividend | $1.72 |
| Per-event yield | 0.61% |
| Annualized yield | 1.70% |
| Previously paid | Mar 10, 2026 ($1.72) |
| Last record date | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 25, 2026 |
ELV Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Elevance Health (ELV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.72 | 2.31% | $280.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.52% | +5.96% | |
| Q4 | $1.71 | -0.06% | $333.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +8.18% | |
| Q3 | $1.71 | -1.55% | $315.09 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.41% | -1.56% | |
| Q2 | $1.71 | -0.43% | $389.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.08% | -3.26% | |
| Q1 | $1.71 | -0.15% | $409.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.27% | +5.58% | |
| Q4 | $1.63 | -0.11% | $400.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.14% | -5.02% | |
| Q3 | $1.63 | -0.04% | $543.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +0.27% | |
| Q2 | $1.63 | -0.14% | $538.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.18% | -0.54% | |
| Q1 | $1.63 | 0.26% | $504.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +1.47% | |
| Q4 | $1.48 | -0.40% | $483.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $1.48 | 0.30% | $446.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.75% | -0.04% | |
| Q2 | $1.48 | -0.50% | $460.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.79% | -1.50% | |
| Q1 | $1.48 | 0.53% | $466.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $1.28 | -0.57% | $525.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.68% | +0.18% | |
| Q3 | $1.28 | -0.51% | $485.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.04% | +0.33% | |
| Q2 | $1.28 | -0.53% | $498.30 | 27 | no | yes | -10.91% | -8.48% | |
| Q1 | $1.28 | 1.08% | $456.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.44% | +3.51% | |
| Q4 | $1.13 | -0.31% | $404.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.03% | +3.99% | |
| Q3 | $1.13 | -0.13% | $370.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +1.38% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | -0.08% | $391.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.01% | -3.14% |
- +5.96%
- +8.18%
- -1.56%
- -3.26%
- +5.58%
- -5.02%
- +0.27%
- -0.54%
- +1.47%
- +0.40%
- -0.04%
- -1.50%
- +0.71%
- +0.18%
- +0.33%
- -8.48%
- +3.51%
- +3.99%
- +1.38%
- -3.14%
ELV Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
ELV Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ELV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $344.00
- After-tax dividend
- $223.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$56.15
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$167.45
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.30%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.0%
ELV Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ELV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ELV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -8.48% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.61% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.