ETN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Eaton Corporation (ETN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ETN sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.10.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.15
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.79% | -0.46pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.84% | +1.18pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.10
Per-event yield
0.28%
Annualized yield
0.99%
Previously paid
May 8, 2026 ($1.10)
Last record date
May 8, 2026
Last payment date
May 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Eaton Corporation (ETN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.10 | 0.35% | $399.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.89% | +0.35% | |
| Q1 | $1.10 | -0.06% | $353.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +3.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.04 | -0.36% | $385.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.06% | -7.87% | |
| Q3 | $1.04 | 0.51% | $358.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.28% | -0.56% | |
| Q2 | $1.04 | -1.18% | $299.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.22% | +7.81% | |
| Q1 | $1.04 | -3.19% | $284.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.32% | +4.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -0.75% | $335.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +11.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -8.78% | $280.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.78% | +3.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | 1.03% | $315.27 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.42% | +5.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -0.46% | $301.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | -0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.86 | 1.18% | $216.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.86 | 0.38% | $217.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +0.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.86 | 0.66% | $168.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +0.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.86 | 0.19% | $175.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.85% | -2.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.81 | -1.18% | $158.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +2.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.81 | 0.46% | $149.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.98% | +3.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.81 | -0.95% | $140.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.36% | -2.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.81 | -2.70% | $149.12 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +4.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.76 | -0.41% | $174.66 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.34% | -0.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.76 | -0.64% | $166.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +0.47% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with ETN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ETN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.40%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+7.94%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+151.53%
Best event
+0.58%
Worst event
+0.27%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ETN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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