Eaton Corporation (ETN) Dividend Capture: 0.31% per event (1.0% annualized)
Eaton Corporation (ETN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ETN sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 8, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.10.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.17in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.17in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.85%-0.50pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 70%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.54%+1.43pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 5
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Per-event yield
- 0.31%
- Annualized yield
- 1.04%
- Previously paid
- Mar 10, 2026 ($1.10)
- Last record date
- Mar 10, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 27, 2026
How ETN ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#50of 87
Beats ~43% of peers on this metric
ETN Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Eaton Corporation (ETN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.10 | -0.06% | $353.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +3.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.04 | -0.36% | $385.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.06% | -7.87% | |
| Q3 | $1.04 | 0.51% | $358.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.28% | -0.56% | |
| Q2 | $1.04 | -1.18% | $299.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.22% | +7.81% | |
| Q1 | $1.04 | -3.19% | $284.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.32% | +4.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -0.75% | $335.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +11.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -8.78% | $280.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.78% | +3.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | 1.03% | $315.27 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.42% | +5.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -0.46% | $301.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | -0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.86 | 1.18% | $216.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.86 | 0.38% | $217.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +0.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.86 | 0.66% | $168.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +0.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.86 | 0.19% | $175.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.85% | -2.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.81 | -1.18% | $158.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +2.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.81 | 0.46% | $149.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.98% | +3.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.81 | -0.95% | $140.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.36% | -2.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.81 | -2.70% | $149.12 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +4.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.76 | -0.41% | $174.66 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.34% | -0.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.76 | -0.64% | $166.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +0.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.76 | -0.75% | $143.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +0.49% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $353.87
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.38%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.16%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.04
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $385.44
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -13.06%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.87%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.04
- Gap %
- 0.51%
- Pre-ex close
- $358.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.28%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.56%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.04
- Gap %
- -1.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $299.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.22%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.81%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.04
- Gap %
- -3.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $284.98
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.32%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.66%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $335.00
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +11.31%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- -8.78%
- Pre-ex close
- $280.26
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.78%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.25%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- 1.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $315.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.42%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.15%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- -0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $301.13
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.83%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.76%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.86
- Gap %
- 1.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $216.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.93%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.02%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.86
- Gap %
- 0.38%
- Pre-ex close
- $217.10
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.98%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.86
- Gap %
- 0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $168.44
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.90%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.59%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.86
- Gap %
- 0.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $175.15
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.85%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.28%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.81
- Gap %
- -1.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $158.19
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.76%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.81
- Gap %
- 0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $149.34
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.98%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.23%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.81
- Gap %
- -0.95%
- Pre-ex close
- $140.81
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.36%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.78%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.81
- Gap %
- -2.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $149.12
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.70%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.28%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.76
- Gap %
- -0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $174.66
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.46%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.76
- Gap %
- -0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $166.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.00%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.47%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.76
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $143.69
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.49%
ETN Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1680%
- 2–3 days315%
- 4–5 days15%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
80% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
ETN Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ETN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $220.00
- After-tax dividend
- $143.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$70.77
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$72.23
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.1%
ETN Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ETN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ETN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.53% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.31% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See ETN seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for ETN?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Eaton Corporation (ETN), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take ETN to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, ETN touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 5 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on ETN large enough to capture?
ETN has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.17 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for ETN?
The next ex-dividend date for Eaton Corporation (ETN) is May 8, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does ETN compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. ETN sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does ETN dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.