FactSet (FDS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.12), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FDS sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 28, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.12-0.18 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.12 | -0.18 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.02% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.04% | +1.33pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $1.16 |
| Per-event yield | 0.54% |
| Annualized yield | 1.82% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($1.10) |
| Last record date | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 19, 2026 |
FDS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for FactSet (FDS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.10 | -1.52% | $214.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.75% | +5.93% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | 0.48% | $277.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +5.16% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -0.24% | $375.77 | 6 | no | yes | -3.98% | +0.18% | |
| Q2 | $1.10 | -0.25% | $465.57 | >30 | no | no | -9.79% | -6.90% | |
| Q1 | $1.04 | 0.37% | $454.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -2.85% | |
| Q4 | $1.04 | 0.16% | $489.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.06% | -1.73% | |
| Q3 | $1.04 | -0.03% | $417.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +2.95% | |
| Q2 | $1.04 | -0.19% | $406.49 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.60% | +1.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -0.29% | $461.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +0.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | 0.16% | $456.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | -2.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.31% | $430.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +0.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -0.08% | $388.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +2.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.89 | 0.76% | $421.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.58% | -0.52% | |
| Q4 | $0.89 | -0.31% | $452.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.62% | +0.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.89 | -0.22% | $441.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +0.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.89 | 0.45% | $378.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.50% | -0.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | 0.31% | $392.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +5.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | 0.61% | $458.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.35% | +0.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -0.28% | $376.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.33% | +1.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.82 | -0.26% | $331.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.58% | -1.59% |
- +5.93%
- +5.16%
- +0.18%
- -6.90%
- -2.85%
- -1.73%
- +2.95%
- +1.10%
- +0.95%
- -2.63%
- +0.25%
- +2.61%
- -0.52%
- +0.59%
- +0.98%
- -0.04%
- +5.36%
- +0.46%
- +1.77%
- -1.59%
FDS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
FDS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with FDS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $232.00
- After-tax dividend
- $150.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$42.85
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$107.95
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.25%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~12.7%
FDS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical FDS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FDS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.25% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| -6.90% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.51% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.