Alphabet (GOOGL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 88% of the last 8 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.04), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GOOGL sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 7, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 88%-3pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.04-0.22 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 8 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 88% | -3pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.04 | -0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.42% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -1.97% | +2.78pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $0.22 |
| Per-event yield | 0.07% |
| Annualized yield | 0.23% |
| Previously paid | Mar 9, 2026 ($0.21) |
| Last record date | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 16, 2026 |
GOOGL Dividend Capture History — Last 8 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Alphabet (GOOGL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.21 | -1.39% | $298.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +2.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.38% | $321.27 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.83% | -4.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | 0.20% | $235.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +7.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | 0.50% | $173.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.73% | +1.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -3.22% | $173.86 | >30 | no | no | -9.86% | -5.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.43% | $174.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +12.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 1.05% | $150.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +4.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | 0.29% | $174.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +1.71% |
- +2.43%
- -4.00%
- +7.16%
- +1.90%
- -5.39%
- +12.68%
- +4.86%
- +1.71%
GOOGL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 6 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 13% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 13% |
GOOGL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with GOOGL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $44.00
- After-tax dividend
- $28.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$59.70
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-31.10
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.05%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.05%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-2.6%
GOOGL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical GOOGL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
8 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GOOGL (8)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.11% | |
| -5.39% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.