GRMN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Garmin (GRMN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GRMN sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 11, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.05.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.27
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.27 | +0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.48% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.81% | +1.22pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.05
Per-event yield
0.44%
Annualized yield
1.28%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($1.05)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 26, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Garmin (GRMN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.05 | 0.57% | $238.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.03% | -0.27% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | 0.44% | $235.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.87% | -1.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.05% | $210.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.87% | -3.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -0.85% | $241.18 | 12 | no | yes | -3.38% | -2.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | 0.45% | $201.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +2.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | 0.54% | $209.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +0.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | 0.03% | $215.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.69% | -2.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -5.22% | $182.76 | >30 | no | no | -7.98% | -6.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.39% | $159.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +0.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.73 | -0.22% | $148.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +0.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.73 | -0.05% | $126.89 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +0.99% | |
| Q3 | $0.73 | -0.04% | $106.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.60% | -0.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.73 | 0.12% | $106.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.91% | -2.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.73 | 1.06% | $95.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +2.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.73 | -0.86% | $96.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.86% | -4.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.73 | -0.71% | $88.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.78% | -4.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.73 | -2.62% | $96.98 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.59% | +4.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.85% | $109.80 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +6.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -1.11% | $134.69 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.94% | -0.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | 0.20% | $171.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.24% | -2.50% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with GRMN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GRMN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.09%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+1.74%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+48.13%
Best event
+0.82%
Worst event
-6.02%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GRMN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -6.02% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.45% | |
| -2.14% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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