GWW dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
W.W. Grainger (GWW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GWW sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 10, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.49.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.11
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.11 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.06% | +0.39pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.43% | +1.60pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$2.49
Per-event yield
0.20%
Annualized yield
0.69%
Previously paid
May 11, 2026 ($2.49)
Last record date
May 11, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for W.W. Grainger (GWW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $2.49 | 0.33% | $1,233.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +2.74% | |
| Q1 | $2.26 | -0.86% | $1,197.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.22% | -5.27% | |
| Q4 | $2.26 | -0.34% | $955.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.08% | -3.07% | |
| Q3 | $2.26 | -0.35% | $950.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +3.18% | |
| Q2 | $2.26 | 2.25% | $1,037.06 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.90% | +6.33% | |
| Q1 | $2.05 | 0.73% | $1,035.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | -1.07% | |
| Q4 | $2.05 | -0.08% | $1,188.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | -0.72% | |
| Q3 | $2.05 | -0.33% | $979.31 | 8 | no | yes | -4.03% | -1.95% | |
| Q2 | $2.05 | 0.13% | $956.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | -0.89% | |
| Q1 | $1.86 | -0.08% | $949.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.45% | -1.29% | |
| Q4 | $1.86 | 0.12% | $781.73 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.03% | +2.86% | |
| Q3 | $1.86 | -0.24% | $712.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $1.86 | 0.37% | $667.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.14% | +2.84% | |
| Q1 | $1.72 | -0.72% | $661.11 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +2.72% | |
| Q4 | $1.72 | 2.98% | $591.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +0.79% | |
| Q3 | $1.72 | -1.15% | $543.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.15% | +7.04% | |
| Q2 | $1.72 | -1.36% | $483.14 | 8 | no | yes | -5.70% | -0.85% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.34% | $473.52 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.19% | +0.43% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -0.11% | $479.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +2.42% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | 0.22% | $439.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.62% | +0.24% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with GWW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GWW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.09%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+1.76%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+187.98%
Best event
+0.37%
Worst event
-1.95%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GWW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.37% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -0.85% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -1.95% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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