HCA dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
HCA Healthcare (HCA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.09), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HCA sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 16, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.78.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.09
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.09 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.06% | +0.27pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.89% | +0.42pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.78
Per-event yield
0.20%
Annualized yield
0.75%
Previously paid
Jun 16, 2026 ($0.78)
Last record date
Jun 16, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for HCA Healthcare (HCA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.78 | 0.19% | $389.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.27% | -0.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | 0.00% | $525.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.02% | -7.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.72 | -2.03% | $484.77 | 15 | no | yes | -4.90% | -2.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.72 | 0.14% | $403.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.24% | +1.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.72 | 0.12% | $371.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.51% | +2.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.72 | -0.41% | $319.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +4.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.66 | 0.00% | $311.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | -2.47% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | 0.59% | $394.68 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.13% | +2.96% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | -0.94% | $340.90 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.32% | +0.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -0.05% | $321.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.93% | +2.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.00% | $263.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.64% | +0.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | 0.56% | $262.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.20% | -3.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.44% | $284.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.86% | +4.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | -1.12% | $247.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.12% | +2.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | 2.58% | $242.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.58% | -1.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.56 | -0.29% | $208.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.96% | -6.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.56 | -0.02% | $179.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.66% | -0.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.56 | 0.31% | $267.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.20% | -2.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.18% | $243.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +1.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.25% | $254.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +1.59% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with HCA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical HCA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.08%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+1.56%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+60.84%
Best event
+0.31%
Worst event
-2.48%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HCA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -2.48% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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