HLT dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 17 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Hilton (HLT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 17 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.04), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HLT sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 21, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.15.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.04
TL;DR over the most recent 17 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.04 | -0.18 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.00% | +0.42pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.25% | +2.25pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.15
Per-event yield
0.05%
Annualized yield
0.19%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.15)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Hilton (HLT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.15 | 0.96% | $322.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.35% | +3.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.20% | $317.83 | 28 | no | yes | -8.91% | -5.99% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.78% | $264.32 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +7.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.69% | $276.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | +0.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.43% | $246.64 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +1.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | 0.28% | $267.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.53% | -1.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.30% | $250.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +1.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.19% | $215.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +1.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 0.10% | $204.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.71% | -2.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | 0.85% | $199.04 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.48% | +2.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.21% | $165.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +2.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.63% | $149.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | -0.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.33% | $144.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.78% | -2.86% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | 0.80% | $144.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.81% | +2.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.22% | $130.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.44% | +5.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.77% | $133.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.95% | -4.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 1.31% | $131.74 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.92% | +8.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -2.42% | $97.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -19.13% | -6.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.43% | $99.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.80% | -0.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.14% | $93.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.62% | -1.76% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with HLT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical HLT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.21%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-4.23%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+246.98%
Best event
+0.16%
Worst event
-5.99%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HLT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.16% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.06% | |
| -5.99% | |
| +0.05% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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