Hubbell (HUBB) Dividend Capture: 0.27% per event (1.1% annualized)
HUBB
Hubbell (HUBB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.19), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HUBB sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 29, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.42.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.19in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.19in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.13%+0.22pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.09%-0.12pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 28
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Per-event yield
- 0.27%
- Annualized yield
- 1.10%
- Previously paid
- Feb 27, 2026 ($1.42)
- Last record date
- Feb 27, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 16, 2026
How HUBB ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#42of 87
Beats ~52% of peers on this metric
HUBB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Hubbell (HUBB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.42 | -1.36% | $524.19 | 28 | no | yes | -12.70% | -9.77% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.11% | $428.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +3.15% | |
| Q3 | $1.32 | -0.80% | $445.80 | 8 | no | yes | -5.31% | -1.76% | |
| Q2 | $1.32 | -0.70% | $396.94 | 6 | no | yes | -5.61% | -0.09% | |
| Q1 | $1.32 | -0.53% | $369.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.55% | -3.65% | |
| Q4 | $1.32 | 0.97% | $458.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.77% | +0.97% | |
| Q3 | $1.22 | 0.22% | $395.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.77% | -4.09% | |
| Q2 | $1.22 | -0.55% | $390.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.88% | -5.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.22 | -0.30% | $367.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +5.89% | |
| Q4 | $1.22 | 0.54% | $294.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +3.29% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | 0.54% | $327.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.93% | -0.38% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | -0.27% | $290.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.40% | +2.19% | |
| Q1 | $1.12 | 0.21% | $253.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.85% | +0.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.12 | -0.53% | $249.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.70% | -1.19% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | -0.60% | $211.35 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.47% | +2.02% | |
| Q2 | $1.05 | 0.81% | $186.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.31% | +6.59% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | -0.45% | $176.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.90% | +3.29% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | 0.35% | $203.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.70% | +0.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.04% | $208.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.15% | -4.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | 0.03% | $189.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +1.73% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -1.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $524.19
- High touch (td)
- 28
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -9.77%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -0.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $428.47
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.15%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.32
- Gap %
- -0.80%
- Pre-ex close
- $445.80
- High touch (td)
- 8
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.31%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.76%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.32
- Gap %
- -0.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $396.94
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.61%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.09%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.32
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $369.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.55%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.65%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.32
- Gap %
- 0.97%
- Pre-ex close
- $458.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.77%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.97%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.22
- Gap %
- 0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $395.52
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.77%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.09%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.22
- Gap %
- -0.55%
- Pre-ex close
- $390.68
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.88%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.83%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.22
- Gap %
- -0.30%
- Pre-ex close
- $367.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.61%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.89%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.22
- Gap %
- 0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $294.92
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.34%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.29%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- 0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $327.37
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.93%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.38%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- -0.27%
- Pre-ex close
- $290.91
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.40%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.19%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- 0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $253.46
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.85%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.16%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $249.51
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.19%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Gap %
- -0.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $211.35
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.47%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.02%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Gap %
- 0.81%
- Pre-ex close
- $186.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.31%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.59%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Gap %
- -0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $176.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.90%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.29%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Gap %
- 0.35%
- Pre-ex close
- $203.80
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.70%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.94%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- -0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $208.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.15%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.40%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- 0.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $189.36
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.55%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.73%
HUBB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1575%
- 2–3 days00%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+00%
75% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 100% within 30d
HUBB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HUBB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $284.00
- After-tax dividend
- $184.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$104.84
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$79.76
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.08%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.8%
HUBB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HUBB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HUBB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.52% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -0.09% | |
| -1.76% | |
| +0.33% | |
| -9.77% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See HUBB seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for HUBB?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Hubbell (HUBB), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take HUBB to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, HUBB touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 28 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on HUBB large enough to capture?
HUBB has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.19 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for HUBB?
The next ex-dividend date for Hubbell (HUBB) is May 29, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does HUBB compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. HUBB sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does HUBB dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.