Hubbell (HUBB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.18), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HUBB sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 28, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.18in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.18 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.14% | +0.22pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.09% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $1.42 |
| Per-event yield | 0.27% |
| Annualized yield | 1.18% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($1.42) |
| Last record date | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 16, 2026 |
HUBB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Hubbell (HUBB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.42 | -1.36% | $524.19 | 28 | no | yes | -12.70% | -9.77% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.11% | $428.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +3.15% | |
| Q3 | $1.32 | -0.80% | $445.80 | 8 | no | yes | -5.31% | -1.76% | |
| Q2 | $1.32 | -0.70% | $396.94 | 6 | no | yes | -5.61% | -0.09% | |
| Q1 | $1.32 | -0.53% | $369.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.55% | -3.65% | |
| Q4 | $1.32 | 0.97% | $458.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.77% | +0.97% | |
| Q3 | $1.22 | 0.22% | $395.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.77% | -4.09% | |
| Q2 | $1.22 | -0.55% | $390.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.88% | -5.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.22 | -0.30% | $367.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +5.89% | |
| Q4 | $1.22 | 0.54% | $294.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +3.29% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | 0.54% | $327.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.93% | -0.38% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | -0.27% | $290.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.40% | +2.19% | |
| Q1 | $1.12 | 0.21% | $253.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.85% | +0.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.12 | -0.53% | $249.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.70% | -1.19% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | -0.60% | $211.35 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.47% | +2.02% | |
| Q2 | $1.05 | 0.81% | $186.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.31% | +6.59% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | -0.45% | $176.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.90% | +3.29% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | 0.35% | $203.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.70% | +0.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.04% | $208.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.15% | -4.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | 0.03% | $189.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +1.73% |
- -9.77%
- +3.15%
- -1.76%
- -0.09%
- -3.65%
- +0.97%
- -4.09%
- -5.83%
- +5.89%
- +3.29%
- -0.38%
- +2.19%
- +0.16%
- -1.19%
- +2.02%
- +6.59%
- +3.29%
- +0.94%
- -4.40%
- +1.73%
HUBB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
HUBB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HUBB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $284.00
- After-tax dividend
- $184.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$104.84
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$79.76
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.08%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.8%
HUBB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HUBB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HUBB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.52% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -0.09% | |
| -1.76% | |
| +0.33% | |
| -9.77% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.