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Humana (HUM) Dividend Capture: 0.51% per event (1.5% annualized)

Updated May 6, 202620 eventshigh

Humana (HUM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.09), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.

Versus its sector, HUM sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.

Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 26, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.89.

Touch rate (30d)
100%in line with sector
Median days-to-touch
1din line with sector
Signal-to-noise
0.09-0.06 vs sector

Recovery engine

TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.

30-day touch rate
100%
in line with sector
Median days-to-touch
1d
in line with sector
Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
0.09
-0.06 vs sector
Avg gap on ex-date
0.16%
+0.49pp vs sector
Win rate at MOC exit
55%
Median drawdown during hold
-3.10%
+1.28pp vs sector
Best / worst touch (days)
1 / 4

Next ex-dividend

Confirmed by company declaration.

in 50 days
Dividend
$0.89
Per-event yield
0.51%
Annualized yield
1.48%
Previously paid
Mar 27, 2026 ($0.89)
Last record date
Mar 27, 2026
Last payment date
Apr 24, 2026

How HUM ranks in Healthcare

Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (40 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.

Full sector ranking
  • 30-day touch rate
    #1of 40

    Beats ~98% of peers on this metric

  • Median days to touch
    #1of 40

    Beats ~98% of peers on this metric

  • Signal-to-noise
    #28of 40

    Beats ~30% of peers on this metric

HUM Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events

Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Humana (HUM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.

  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.94%
    Pre-ex close
    $175.14
    High touch (td)
    4
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -6.08%
    P&L 5d %
    +4.79%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.38%
    Pre-ex close
    $259.25
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.88%
    P&L 5d %
    +6.73%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.70%
    Pre-ex close
    $254.43
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -6.06%
    P&L 5d %
    +11.86%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.42%
    Pre-ex close
    $239.90
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -4.77%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.75%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.16%
    Pre-ex close
    $270.38
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -10.42%
    P&L 5d %
    -5.82%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.15%
    Pre-ex close
    $254.26
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.17%
    P&L 5d %
    +5.80%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.34%
    Pre-ex close
    $319.57
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -33.25%
    P&L 5d %
    -25.78%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    2.52%
    Pre-ex close
    $362.98
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.53%
    P&L 5d %
    +2.30%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.34%
    Pre-ex close
    $348.38
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -14.11%
    P&L 5d %
    -10.75%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    -0.16%
    Pre-ex close
    $451.42
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.31%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.71%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.41%
    Pre-ex close
    $493.57
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.88%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.75%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.29%
    Pre-ex close
    $444.83
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -4.84%
    P&L 5d %
    -3.10%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.89
    Gap %
    0.05%
    Pre-ex close
    $485.75
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.32%
    P&L 5d %
    +7.23%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.79
    Gap %
    0.37%
    Pre-ex close
    $515.31
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -7.16%
    P&L 5d %
    -4.27%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.79
    Gap %
    0.16%
    Pre-ex close
    $493.81
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.90%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.27%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.79
    Gap %
    0.08%
    Pre-ex close
    $462.19
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.00%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.23%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.79
    Gap %
    -0.03%
    Pre-ex close
    $438.95
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.50%
    P&L 5d %
    +2.48%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.70
    Gap %
    0.08%
    Pre-ex close
    $469.02
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -25.12%
    P&L 5d %
    -21.49%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.70
    Gap %
    0.00%
    Pre-ex close
    $395.00
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.33%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.46%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.70
    Gap %
    0.03%
    Pre-ex close
    $444.88
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.91%
    P&L 5d %
    +2.99%

HUM Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution

20 events analyzedHigh touched pre-ex within 5 trading days: 100% (20 events)
  • ≤ 1 day
    1890%
  • 2–3 days
    15%
  • 4–5 days
    15%
  • 6–10 days
    00%
  • 11–30 days
    00%
  • 30+
    00%

90% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d

HUM Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield

Pre-filled with HUM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.

Slippage preset

Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.

Display
Gross dividend
$178.00
After-tax dividend
$115.70
Slippage round-trip
-$35.03

Net if price returns to pre-ex
+$80.67
Required recovery to break even
0.00%

Per-event after-tax yield
+0.23%
Annual if all succeed
~11.6%
Scenariosbase rate 100%
Best (limit fills)+$80.67
Average (base rate)+$80.67
Worst (no recovery)$97.33

Open in full calculator →

HUM Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator

Replay every historical HUM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.

Limit window:Quarter:

Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).

Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).

Avg P&L per trade(20 events)+0.25%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
i
+4.92%Sum of per-event % (not compounded)
Buy & hold (same sample)
i
-58.23%Span: Jun 29, 2021 → Mar 27, 2026 · long-horizon total return vs repeating capture cycles
Best event
+0.51%
Worst event
0.15%

Cumulative P&L (equity curve)

Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.

+4.9%+0.0%Jun 29, 2021 · cumulative +0.16% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 29, 2021 · cumulative +0.33% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 30, 2021 · cumulative +0.48% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 30, 2022 · cumulative +0.66% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 29, 2022 · cumulative +0.83% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 29, 2022 · cumulative +0.99% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 29, 2022 · cumulative +1.15% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 30, 2023 · cumulative +1.33% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 29, 2023 · cumulative +1.53% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 28, 2023 · cumulative +1.71% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 28, 2023 · cumulative +1.90% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 27, 2024 · cumulative +2.16% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 28, 2024 · cumulative +2.40% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 30, 2024 · cumulative +2.68% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 31, 2024 · cumulative +3.03% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 28, 2025 · cumulative +3.35% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 27, 2025 · cumulative +3.72% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 26, 2025 · cumulative +4.07% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 26, 2025 · cumulative +4.41% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 27, 2026 · cumulative +4.92% (sum of returns through this event)
Jun 29, 2021Mar 27, 2026

Per-event P&L distribution

20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).

 
<-3%
 
-3..-1%
 
-1..0%
 
0%
20
0..1%
 
1..3%
 
>3%

Scenario P&L by event · HUM (20)

Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.

Ex-dateP&L
+0.16%
+0.18%
+0.15%
+0.18%
+0.17%
+0.16%
+0.15%
+0.18%
+0.20%
+0.18%
+0.20%
+0.25%
+0.24%
+0.28%
+0.35%
+0.33%
+0.37%
+0.35%
+0.34%
+0.51%

Looking for full price seasonality? See HUM seasonality →

Frequently asked questions

What is the dividend capture success rate for HUM?

Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Humana (HUM), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.

How long does it take HUM to recover its dividend gap?

Historically, HUM touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 4 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.

Is the dividend on HUM large enough to capture?

HUM has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.09 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.

When is the next ex-dividend date for HUM?

The next ex-dividend date for Humana (HUM) is Jun 26, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).

How does HUM compare to its sector for dividend capture?

Within Healthcare, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 100%. HUM sits at 100% — at or below the sector benchmark.

Why does HUM dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?

A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".

How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?

Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.

What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?

Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.