Ingersoll Rand (IR) Dividend Capture: 0.02% per event (0.1% annualized)
Ingersoll Rand (IR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 18 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.01), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, IR sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.02.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.01-0.17 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 18 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.01-0.17 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- 0.17%+0.52pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 50%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.29%-0.32pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 8
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Per-event yield
- 0.02%
- Annualized yield
- 0.11%
- Previously paid
- Mar 4, 2026 ($0.02)
- Last record date
- Mar 4, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 26, 2026
How IR ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#87of 87
Beats ~0% of peers on this metric
IR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ingersoll Rand (IR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.36% | $91.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.87% | -6.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.62% | $77.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.77% | -4.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -1.10% | $80.77 | 7 | no | yes | -4.33% | -4.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.29% | $83.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -2.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.49% | $81.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +0.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.22% | $104.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -1.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | 1.66% | $91.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.23% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | 0.51% | $91.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +5.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.79% | $89.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.40% | +0.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | 0.64% | $70.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +0.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | 0.90% | $66.70 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.07% | +4.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.82% | $59.74 | 8 | no | yes | -5.44% | -5.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | -0.05% | $58.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.38% | +1.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | 1.47% | $55.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.66% | -2.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -0.69% | $53.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.04% | -7.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.80% | $43.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +8.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.96% | $44.90 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.82% | +7.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.17% | $57.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.21% | +4.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.52% | $30.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.25% | +1.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -10.73% | $23.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -27.59% | -12.56% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $91.54
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.87%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.94%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.77%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.05%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -1.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $80.77
- High touch (td)
- 7
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.33%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.09%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $83.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.43%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.49%
- Pre-ex close
- $81.45
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.04%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.07%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $104.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.32%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.24%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 1.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $91.03
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.23%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.96%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.51%
- Pre-ex close
- $91.54
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.96%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.20%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.79%
- Pre-ex close
- $89.97
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.40%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.64%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.05%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.85%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.90%
- Pre-ex close
- $66.70
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.93%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.74
- High touch (td)
- 8
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.44%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.12%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $58.38
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.38%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.73%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 1.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.19
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.66%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.50%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $53.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.04%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.57%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.80%
- Pre-ex close
- $43.63
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.08%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.55%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- 0.96%
- Pre-ex close
- $44.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.82%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.84%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.02
- Gap %
- -0.17%
- Pre-ex close
- $57.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.16%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Gap %
- -0.52%
- Pre-ex close
- $30.79
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.59%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Gap %
- -10.73%
- Pre-ex close
- $23.49
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -27.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -12.56%
IR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1785%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
85% within 1d · 90% within 5d · 100% within 30d
IR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with IR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $4.00
- After-tax dividend
- $2.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$18.31
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-15.71
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.09%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.09%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-4.3%
IR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical IR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · IR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +2.26% | |
| +1.72% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.03% | |
| -5.12% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| -4.09% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.02% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See IR seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for IR?
Across the last 18 ex-dividend events for Ingersoll Rand (IR), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take IR to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, IR touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 8 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on IR large enough to capture?
IR has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.01 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for IR?
The next ex-dividend date for Ingersoll Rand (IR) is May 14, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does IR compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. IR sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does IR dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.