Invesco (IVZ) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, IVZ sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.34in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.34 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.87% | -0.30pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -7.64% | -3.27pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 26 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.21 |
| Per-event yield | 0.82% |
| Annualized yield | 3.12% |
| Previously paid | Feb 13, 2026 ($0.21) |
| Last record date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 3, 2026 |
IVZ Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Invesco (IVZ). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.21 | 0.00% | $26.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -3.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -1.83% | $23.98 | 8 | no | yes | -7.84% | -2.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -1.81% | $21.52 | 7 | no | yes | -4.83% | -2.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -1.53% | $15.65 | >30 | no | no | -9.90% | -5.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.22% | $18.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.44% | -3.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.51% | $17.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +1.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.95% | $16.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.64% | $15.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +4.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.19% | $15.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +0.52% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.60% | $13.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.52% | +4.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 0.30% | $16.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.19% | -6.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.60% | $16.57 | 26 | no | yes | -10.20% | -7.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -1.58% | $19.00 | >30 | no | no | -9.95% | -5.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -2.12% | $16.51 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +15.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.44% | $18.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.22% | +2.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -2.55% | $18.46 | 7 | no | yes | -9.21% | -3.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | 0.26% | $22.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.16% | -6.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.73% | $26.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -8.00% | -3.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.86% | $25.67 | 12 | no | yes | -9.86% | -8.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.35% | $28.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.10% | -1.59% |
- -3.09%
- -2.29%
- -2.97%
- -5.11%
- -3.23%
- +1.33%
- +3.29%
- +4.07%
- +0.52%
- +4.74%
- -6.70%
- -7.00%
- -5.64%
- +15.01%
- +2.66%
- -3.15%
- -6.62%
- -3.46%
- -8.10%
- -1.59%
IVZ Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
IVZ Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with IVZ's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $44.00
- After-tax dividend
- $28.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$5.25
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$23.35
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.45%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~22.4%
IVZ Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical IVZ ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · IVZ (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| -8.10% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.74% | |
| -3.15% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.14% | |
| -5.64% | |
| -7.00% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +1.51% | |
| +1.29% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.11% | |
| -5.11% | |
| -2.97% | |
| -2.29% | |
| +0.80% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.