Jacobs Solutions (J) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.10), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, J sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 21, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.10-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.10 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.01% | +0.35pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.95% | +1.08pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.36 |
| Per-event yield | 0.26% |
| Annualized yield | 1.19% |
| Previously paid | Feb 20, 2026 ($0.36) |
| Last record date | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 20, 2026 |
J Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Jacobs Solutions (J). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.36 | -0.78% | $139.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.79% | -0.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | 0.49% | $132.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.26% | +3.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | 0.20% | $147.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -0.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | -1.43% | $126.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.57% | -1.86% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -0.02% | $128.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.47% | -1.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.46% | $140.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.75% | -1.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | 0.71% | $120.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.58% | -2.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | 0.14% | $114.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.43% | +1.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.43% | $119.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.44% | +1.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.06% | $109.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +1.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.04% | $105.06 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +0.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.93% | $94.79 | 6 | no | yes | -4.88% | +0.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | 0.40% | $99.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.03% | +1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -1.01% | $91.38 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +3.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | 0.46% | $109.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.65% | -2.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.97% | $113.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | +0.79% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -2.26% | $97.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +9.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | 0.89% | $110.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.73% | +2.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | 1.06% | $111.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.29% | -4.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | 0.95% | $116.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +2.25% |
- -0.78%
- +3.58%
- -0.52%
- -1.86%
- -1.30%
- -1.30%
- -2.12%
- +1.32%
- +1.65%
- +1.03%
- +0.59%
- +0.61%
- +1.31%
- +3.24%
- -2.65%
- +0.79%
- +9.01%
- +2.89%
- -4.53%
- +2.25%
J Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
J Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with J's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $72.00
- After-tax dividend
- $46.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$27.86
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$18.94
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.07%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.4%
J Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical J ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · J (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.