Jabil (JBL) Dividend Capture: 0.03% per event (0.1% annualized)
JBL
Jabil (JBL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.03), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, JBL sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.08.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.03-0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.03-0.13 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- 0.08%+0.41pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.75%+1.94pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 21
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Per-event yield
- 0.03%
- Annualized yield
- 0.09%
- Previously paid
- Feb 17, 2026 ($0.08)
- Last record date
- Feb 17, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 3, 2026
How JBL ranks in Technology
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (48 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#46of 48
Beats ~4% of peers on this metric
JBL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Jabil (JBL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.08 | -0.45% | $254.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +4.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -0.54% | $201.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.08% | -2.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.42% | $217.40 | 21 | no | yes | -8.18% | -3.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.86% | $166.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.20% | -1.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | 0.79% | $169.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.31% | -7.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -1.10% | $129.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +1.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 1.78% | $103.27 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.17% | +3.82% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.13% | $117.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.24% | +0.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | 1.18% | $138.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.09% | +1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | 1.05% | $129.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.28% | +1.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.25% | $105.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.34% | -2.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | 0.33% | $79.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.49% | +6.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | -1.04% | $84.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.24% | -1.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -0.67% | $66.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +4.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.47% | $61.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.65% | +2.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | 1.01% | $56.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +2.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | -0.41% | $60.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.47% | -3.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | 0.20% | $64.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.23% | -3.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.23% | $60.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.68% | -3.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | 0.45% | $50.90 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.45% | +6.78% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $254.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.51%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.62%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $201.87
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.08%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.30%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.42%
- Pre-ex close
- $217.40
- High touch (td)
- 21
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.18%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.44%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.86%
- Pre-ex close
- $166.86
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.20%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.01%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.79%
- Pre-ex close
- $169.65
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -14.31%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.11%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -1.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $129.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.31%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.67%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 1.78%
- Pre-ex close
- $103.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 1.17%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.82%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $117.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.24%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.02%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 1.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $138.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.27%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 1.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $129.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.28%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.14%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $105.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.72%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $79.10
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.30%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -1.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $84.00
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.24%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.79%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $66.12
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.24%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.81%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $61.73
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.65%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.48%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 1.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.28
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.28%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.22%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.54
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.47%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.47%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $64.51
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.23%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.57%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.68%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.35%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $50.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.45%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.78%
JBL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1995%
- 2–3 days00%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+00%
95% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
JBL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with JBL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $16.00
- After-tax dividend
- $10.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$50.92
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-40.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.08%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.08%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-4.0%
JBL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical JBL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · JBL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.16% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.05% | |
| -3.44% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.03% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See JBL seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for JBL?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Jabil (JBL), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take JBL to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, JBL touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 21 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on JBL large enough to capture?
JBL has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.03 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for JBL?
The next ex-dividend date for Jabil (JBL) is May 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does JBL compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Technology, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. JBL sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does JBL dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.