KO dividend capture — median 3d pre-ex touch, 80% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Coca-Cola (KO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.53), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, KO sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.53.
Touch rate (30d)
80%
Median days-to-touch
3d
Signal-to-noise
0.53
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 80% | -15pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +1.5d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.53 | +0.15 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.73% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.26% | +0.73pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.53
Per-event yield
0.64%
Annualized yield
2.42%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($0.53)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Coca-Cola (KO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.53 | -1.86% | $82.62 | 9 | no | yes | -4.70% | -2.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.18% | $77.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.56% | -3.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.71% | $73.12 | >30 | no | no | -5.92% | -3.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.49% | $67.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.25% | -0.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.65% | $72.24 | 12 | no | yes | -4.79% | -2.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -1.59% | $69.62 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | -0.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.64% | $64.43 | >30 | no | no | -4.10% | -2.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.55% | $71.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.19% | +1.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.97% | $62.99 | 5 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +2.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.88% | $61.12 | 10 | no | yes | -2.42% | -0.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.46% | $58.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +1.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.34% | $58.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.72% | -0.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.41% | $60.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +1.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.56% | $60.43 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.31% | -0.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | -0.75% | $62.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.17% | +2.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.44 | -0.64% | $60.79 | >30 | no | no | -8.03% | -1.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.44 | -0.99% | $61.34 | 6 | no | yes | -5.04% | +0.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.44 | 0.09% | $57.92 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.09% | +5.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.80% | $54.58 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.21% | +1.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.27% | $56.07 | >30 | no | no | -4.46% | -2.85% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 7 | 35% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
Pre-filled with KO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical KO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.29%
Win rate (20 trades)
65%
Cumulative P&L
-5.89%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+61.21%
Best event
+0.79%
Worst event
-3.23%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · KO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.85% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.41% | |
| -1.79% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -0.27% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -2.20% | |
| +0.73% | |
| -2.75% | |
| +0.76% | |
| -3.23% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -2.15% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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