Kenvue (KVUE) Dividend Capture: 1.15% per event (4.8% annualized)
KVUE
Kenvue (KVUE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 91% of the last 11 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.39), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, KVUE sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 13, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.21.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 91%-4pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.39in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 11 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 91%-4pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.39in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.77%-0.15pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 64%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.41%+1.66pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 2
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.21
- Per-event yield
- 1.15%
- Annualized yield
- 4.79%
- Previously paid
- Feb 11, 2026 ($0.21)
- Last record date
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last payment date
- Feb 25, 2026
How KVUE ranks in Consumer Defensive
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (40 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#26of 40
Beats ~35% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 40
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#18of 40
Beats ~55% of peers on this metric
KVUE Dividend Capture History — Last 11 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Kenvue (KVUE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.21 | -1.20% | $18.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +2.99% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.36% | $16.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -2.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.64% | $21.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.25% | -0.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -1.10% | $23.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.41% | +2.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -1.82% | $20.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +8.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.85% | $23.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.58% | +1.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.84% | $21.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.03% | +2.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | 1.94% | $19.08 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.94% | +9.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.97% | $19.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.44% | -0.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.67% | $19.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +1.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.94% | $23.66 | >30 | no | no | -13.86% | -2.11% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.21
- Gap %
- -1.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $18.32
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.97%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.99%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.21
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $16.72
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.67%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.71%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.21
- Gap %
- -0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $21.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.25%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.29%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -1.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $23.66
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.41%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.30%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -1.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $20.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.96%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.06%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.85%
- Pre-ex close
- $23.65
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.58%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.42%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.84%
- Pre-ex close
- $21.34
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.03%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.60%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- 1.94%
- Pre-ex close
- $19.08
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 1.94%
- P&L 5d %
- +9.17%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.97%
- Pre-ex close
- $19.59
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.44%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.46%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $19.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.81%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.34%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -1.94%
- Pre-ex close
- $23.66
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -13.86%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.11%
KVUE Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day873%
- 2–3 days218%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+19%
73% within 1d · 91% within 5d · 91% within 30d
KVUE Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with KVUE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $42.00
- After-tax dividend
- $27.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$3.66
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$23.64
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.65%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~32.5%
KVUE Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical KVUE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
11 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · KVUE (11)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.11% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +1.13% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See KVUE seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for KVUE?
Across the last 11 ex-dividend events for Kenvue (KVUE), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 91% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take KVUE to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, KVUE touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 2 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on KVUE large enough to capture?
KVUE has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.39 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for KVUE?
The next ex-dividend date for Kenvue (KVUE) is May 13, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does KVUE compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Consumer Defensive, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. KVUE sits at 91% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does KVUE dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.