Loews (L) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.05), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, L sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 26, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.05-0.25 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.05 | -0.25 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.09% | +0.49pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.54% | +1.83pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
| Dividend | $0.06 |
| Per-event yield | 0.06% |
| Annualized yield | 0.23% |
| Previously paid | Feb 25, 2026 ($0.06) |
| Last record date | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
L Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Loews (L). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.06 | 0.16% | $109.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +2.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | -0.19% | $107.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.31% | -3.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | 0.31% | $95.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.30% | $89.07 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.58% | -0.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | 0.01% | $84.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +0.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 0.40% | $86.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.93% | -0.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | 0.30% | $78.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.62% | +3.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.53% | $74.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.09% | +1.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | -0.46% | $74.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.89% | +0.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 0.01% | $67.49 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.01% | +1.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -0.84% | $62.94 | 19 | no | yes | -2.56% | -2.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.61% | $58.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -4.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | 0.21% | $61.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.71% | -0.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 0.65% | $56.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.29% | +2.47% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -0.32% | $58.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.90% | -2.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.27% | $64.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +1.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | 0.08% | $61.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.56% | -2.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 0.63% | $56.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.08% | -5.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -0.90% | $55.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +0.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.17% | $58.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | -0.39% |
- +2.02%
- -3.15%
- +0.50%
- -0.90%
- +0.49%
- -0.70%
- +3.10%
- +1.30%
- +0.96%
- +1.60%
- -2.38%
- -4.46%
- -0.58%
- +2.47%
- -2.42%
- +1.11%
- -2.97%
- -5.66%
- +0.35%
- -0.39%
L Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
L Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with L's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $12.00
- After-tax dividend
- $7.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$21.87
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-14.07
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.06%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.06%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-3.2%
L Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical L ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · L (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.11% | |
| -2.38% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.