Leidos Holdings (LDOS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LDOS sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.17in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.71% | +0.91pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 16 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.43 |
| Per-event yield | 0.25% |
| Annualized yield | 1.47% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($0.43) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
LDOS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Leidos Holdings (LDOS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.43 | -0.77% | $173.86 | >30 | no | no | -10.87% | -6.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -0.72% | $189.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.13% | -1.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.87% | $183.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +2.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.37% | $149.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +2.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 0.28% | $132.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +1.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -0.29% | $153.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.33% | -4.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.06% | $154.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +2.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.95% | $144.15 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +3.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -0.46% | $128.07 | 5 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +1.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.18% | $110.18 | 16 | no | yes | -4.23% | -2.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.03% | $95.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -2.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -0.61% | $83.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.39% | +3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | 0.43% | $92.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +0.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -0.32% | $106.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.18% | -0.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.20% | $92.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.54% | -0.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -0.57% | $99.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.73% | -1.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | 0.17% | $101.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +4.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -0.81% | $89.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.70% | -3.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | 0.15% | $98.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.10% | -7.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.51% | $106.89 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.65% | -0.69% |
- -6.26%
- -1.72%
- +2.40%
- +2.33%
- +1.03%
- -4.94%
- +2.17%
- +3.32%
- +1.14%
- -2.91%
- -2.39%
- +3.13%
- +0.83%
- -0.33%
- -0.59%
- -1.61%
- +4.67%
- -3.19%
- -7.11%
- -0.69%
LDOS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
LDOS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with LDOS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $86.00
- After-tax dividend
- $55.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$34.77
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$21.13
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.06%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.1%
LDOS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical LDOS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LDOS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.32% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.38% | |
| -2.91% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.23% | |
| -6.26% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.