LIN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Linde (LIN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LIN sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 3, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.60.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.24% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.01% | +2.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.60
Per-event yield
0.32%
Annualized yield
1.31%
Previously paid
Jun 4, 2026 ($1.60)
Last record date
Jun 4, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 18, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Linde (LIN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.60 | 0.20% | $507.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +1.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.60 | -0.16% | $477.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.42% | +2.56% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | -0.11% | $408.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.14% | -3.57% | |
| Q3 | $1.50 | -0.22% | $471.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.10% | +2.82% | |
| Q2 | $1.50 | -0.14% | $471.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | -0.38% | |
| Q1 | $1.50 | -0.38% | $451.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +1.79% | |
| Q4 | $1.39 | 0.48% | $459.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.02% | -2.93% | |
| Q3 | $1.39 | 0.46% | $474.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.34% | -1.59% | |
| Q2 | $1.39 | -0.70% | $434.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +0.58% | |
| Q1 | $1.39 | -0.32% | $471.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | -0.70% | |
| Q4 | $1.28 | -0.32% | $413.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.96% | -2.71% | |
| Q3 | $1.28 | 0.55% | $387.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.95% | +0.93% | |
| Q2 | $1.28 | 0.46% | $353.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.12% | +2.78% | |
| Q1 | $1.28 | -0.82% | $341.54 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.10% | -0.43% | |
| Q4 | $1.17 | 0.24% | $336.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.08% | -0.20% | |
| Q3 | $1.17 | -1.78% | $282.86 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.38% | +1.89% | |
| Q2 | $1.17 | 1.23% | $319.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.26% | +0.08% | |
| Q1 | $1.17 | -4.18% | $292.77 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.31% | +6.07% | |
| Q4 | $1.06 | 0.54% | $318.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.01% | +4.68% | |
| Q3 | $1.06 | 0.18% | $313.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | -0.76% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with LIN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LIN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.34%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+6.76%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+70.16%
Best event
+0.41%
Worst event
+0.29%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LIN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.34% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.32% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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