LKQ dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 19 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
LKQ (LKQ) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.26), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LKQ sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 20, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.30.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.26
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.26 | +0.05 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.69% | -0.28pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 42% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.54% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 26 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.30
Per-event yield
1.16%
Annualized yield
5.14%
Previously paid
May 21, 2026 ($0.30)
Last record date
May 21, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 4, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for LKQ (LKQ). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.55% | $25.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +6.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -1.81% | $30.95 | 26 | no | yes | -10.69% | -6.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -1.49% | $29.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | +1.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -1.92% | $31.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.60% | -2.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.60% | $42.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.71% | -2.88% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.82% | $42.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.69% | -2.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.28% | $38.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.03% | -1.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 1.19% | $39.39 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.33% | +6.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.23% | $44.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.35% | -0.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.27% | $51.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +1.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.26% | $46.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.83% | -0.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.49% | $52.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | -1.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | 0.32% | $55.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.00% | -3.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -2.61% | $54.51 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.60% | +0.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -1.10% | $54.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +0.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 1.56% | $54.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.40% | +3.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -2.63% | $52.47 | 13 | no | yes | -10.67% | -4.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.46% | $45.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.63% | -1.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.66% | $57.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +3.08% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 79% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 11% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 11% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with LKQ's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LKQ ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 19 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (19 events)
-0.02%
Win rate (19 trades)
89%
Cumulative P&L
-0.31%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-43.89%
Best event
+1.16%
Worst event
-6.75%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
19 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LKQ (19)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -4.99% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.01% | |
| -6.75% | |
| +1.16% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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