Matthews International (MATW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 84% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MATW sits noticeably below the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 10, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 84%-11pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.22in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 84% | -11pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.75% | -0.39pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.45% | +0.58pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.26 |
| Per-event yield | 0.94% |
| Annualized yield | 3.66% |
| Previously paid | Feb 9, 2026 ($0.26) |
| Last record date | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Feb 23, 2026 |
MATW Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Matthews International (MATW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.26 | -1.36% | $27.16 | 21 | no | yes | -6.15% | -1.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -1.26% | $24.54 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +3.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -1.02% | $23.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.05% | +1.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | 3.33% | $20.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +2.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.90% | $26.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.09% | -1.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.73% | $30.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.22% | -0.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -6.64% | $26.65 | >30 | no | no | -9.08% | -6.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 7.23% | $27.12 | 1 | yes | yes | 2.80% | +7.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -3.98% | $33.43 | >30 | no | no | -18.13% | -11.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.46% | $34.86 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.18% | +0.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.18% | $45.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.75% | -3.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.62% | $37.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +2.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -1.05% | $38.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.22% | -1.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -0.57% | $31.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +1.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -1.62% | $25.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.93% | +3.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.82% | $30.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.42% | -0.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.70% | $34.46 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -2.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -3.98% | $37.93 | >30 | no | no | -10.28% | -3.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.09% | $34.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.88% | +2.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.85% | $42.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.69% | -1.74% |
- -1.49%
- +3.93%
- +1.78%
- +2.60%
- -1.85%
- -0.10%
- -6.98%
- +7.19%
- -11.67%
- +0.72%
- -3.83%
- +2.78%
- -1.34%
- +1.88%
- +3.16%
- -0.07%
- -2.21%
- -3.72%
- +2.40%
- -1.74%
MATW Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
MATW Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MATW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $52.00
- After-tax dividend
- $33.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$5.43
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$28.37
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.52%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~26.3%
MATW Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MATW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MATW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.51% | |
| +0.63% | |
| -3.72% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.69% | |
| -11.67% | |
| +0.88% | |
| -6.98% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.04% | |
| -1.49% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.