MCK dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
McKesson (MCK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MCK sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.94.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.07
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.51% | -0.17pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.29% | +1.02pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.94
Per-event yield
0.13%
Annualized yield
0.41%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($0.82)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for McKesson (MCK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.82 | -0.93% | $742.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +3.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | 0.27% | $987.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.86% | -4.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | -0.61% | $881.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.35% | -9.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | 0.10% | $686.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.62% | +2.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | -0.18% | $719.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -1.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.41% | $640.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.87% | +3.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.48% | $628.50 | >30 | no | no | -9.10% | -5.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.03% | $556.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.50% | -8.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.62 | -0.67% | $569.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.67% | +3.92% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -0.16% | $523.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.10% | +1.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | -0.32% | $456.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | -0.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -0.22% | $421.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.00% | -0.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | -1.77% | $384.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.86% | +0.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -0.40% | $355.35 | 21 | no | yes | -6.22% | -4.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.48% | $381.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.62% | +1.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -0.16% | $364.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.04% | +1.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -1.27% | $334.96 | 28 | no | yes | -8.80% | -3.83% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -1.63% | $275.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.44% | +1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | -0.61% | $223.27 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.58% | +0.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.24% | $201.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.69% | +2.72% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with MCK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MCK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.61%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-12.16%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+271.56%
Best event
+0.23%
Worst event
-5.71%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MCK (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.17% | |
| -3.83% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| -4.92% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| -5.71% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.11% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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