MET dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
MetLife (MET) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MET sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 3, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.33
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.33 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.65% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -1.98% | +2.42pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
Dividend
$0.59
Per-event yield
0.76%
Annualized yield
2.41%
Previously paid
May 12, 2026 ($0.59)
Last record date
May 12, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 9, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for MetLife (MET). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.60% | $77.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +4.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | -1.23% | $79.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.19% | -1.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | -1.17% | $79.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.06% | -1.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.01% | $74.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +3.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -1.45% | $77.41 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +5.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | -0.75% | $85.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.03% | -2.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -0.51% | $78.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +5.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.26% | $67.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +4.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | -0.28% | $70.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.70% | $65.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | +4.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.95% | $60.05 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.22% | $63.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.59% | +0.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.60% | $54.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.45% | -6.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.67% | $69.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +4.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.01% | $74.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +0.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.08% | $63.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.00% | +7.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -1.41% | $67.54 | 15 | no | yes | -9.92% | -5.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.22% | $68.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +2.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | 0.05% | $63.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.78% | +1.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.84% | $60.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +2.88% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with MET's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MET ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.47%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+9.36%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+46.93%
Best event
+0.95%
Worst event
-5.06%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MET (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.79% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -5.06% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.76% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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