MetLife (MET) Dividend Capture: 0.74% per event (2.9% annualized)
MET
MetLife (MET) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MET sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.59.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.33in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.33in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.63%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 70%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.11%+2.28pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 15
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Per-event yield
- 0.74%
- Annualized yield
- 2.87%
- Previously paid
- Feb 3, 2026 ($0.57)
- Last record date
- Feb 3, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 10, 2026
How MET ranks in Financial Services
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (101 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 101
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 101
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#38of 101
Beats ~62% of peers on this metric
MET Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for MetLife (MET). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.57 | -1.23% | $79.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.19% | -1.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | -1.17% | $79.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.06% | -1.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.01% | $74.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +3.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -1.45% | $77.41 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +5.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | -0.75% | $85.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.03% | -2.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -0.51% | $78.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +5.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.26% | $67.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +4.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | -0.28% | $70.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.70% | $65.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | +4.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.95% | $60.05 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.22% | $63.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.59% | +0.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.60% | $54.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.45% | -6.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.67% | $69.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +4.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.01% | $74.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +0.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.08% | $63.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.00% | +7.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -1.41% | $67.54 | 15 | no | yes | -9.92% | -5.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.22% | $68.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +2.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | 0.05% | $63.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.78% | +1.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.84% | $60.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +2.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -0.24% | $67.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.43% | -1.46% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.57
- Gap %
- -1.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $79.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.19%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.68%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.57
- Gap %
- -1.17%
- Pre-ex close
- $79.21
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.06%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.08%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.57
- Gap %
- -0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.65%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.07%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.57
- Gap %
- -1.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.41
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.92%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.58%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $85.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.03%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.08%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Gap %
- -0.51%
- Pre-ex close
- $78.56
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.43%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.33%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Gap %
- -0.26%
- Pre-ex close
- $67.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.41%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.52
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.51%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.45%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -1.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $65.95
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.03%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.73%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -0.95%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.05
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.93%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.81%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $63.53
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.59%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.88%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -0.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $54.66
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.45%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.70%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $69.79
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.16%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.44%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.11
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.19%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.24%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $63.30
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.00%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.17%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -1.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $67.54
- High touch (td)
- 15
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.92%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.06%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $68.99
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.91%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.35%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- 0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $63.99
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.78%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.00%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.84%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.71%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.88%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $67.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.43%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.46%
MET Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1785%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+00%
85% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
MET Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MET's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $118.00
- After-tax dividend
- $76.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$15.97
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$60.73
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.38%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~19.2%
MET Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MET ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MET (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.71% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -5.06% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.71% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See MET seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for MET?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for MetLife (MET), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take MET to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, MET touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 15 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on MET large enough to capture?
MET has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.33 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for MET?
The next ex-dividend date for MetLife (MET) is May 12, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does MET compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Financial Services, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. MET sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does MET dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.