Nasdaq (NDAQ) Dividend Capture: 0.36% per event (1.3% annualized)
NDAQ
Nasdaq (NDAQ) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NDAQ sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.31.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.27in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.27in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.34%+0.23pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 60%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.79%+0.59pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 5
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Per-event yield
- 0.36%
- Annualized yield
- 1.26%
- Previously paid
- Mar 16, 2026 ($0.27)
- Last record date
- Mar 16, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 30, 2026
How NDAQ ranks in Financial Services
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (101 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 101
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 101
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#61of 101
Beats ~40% of peers on this metric
NDAQ Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Nasdaq (NDAQ). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.09% | $85.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.30% | +1.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.30% | $90.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +3.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.15% | $95.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.81% | -6.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -1.06% | $86.90 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.01% | +0.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.65% | $72.17 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.24% | +5.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.62% | $81.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.87% | -1.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.21% | $72.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +2.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.73% | $59.20 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +1.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.05% | $59.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.98% | +2.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -1.41% | $55.84 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.98% | +0.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.02% | $51.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | -3.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.51% | $51.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -2.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.85% | $51.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +1.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | 0.16% | $68.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.98% | -5.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.37% | $62.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.40% | -7.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.43% | $51.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.32% | -2.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -1.37% | $56.22 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.61% | +5.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | 0.50% | $66.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +3.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -0.29% | $66.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -0.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | 0.27% | $56.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.62% | +7.27% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $85.53
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.30%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.33%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.30%
- Pre-ex close
- $90.29
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.24%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.93%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $95.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.81%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.30%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -1.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $86.90
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.01%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.12%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.65%
- Pre-ex close
- $72.17
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.24%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.02%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $81.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.87%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.12%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $72.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.70%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.73%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.20
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.55%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.93%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.98%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.28%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -1.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.84
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.98%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.88%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.10
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.30%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.99%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.51%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.32%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.54%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.85%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.56%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.50%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- 0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $68.46
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.98%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.95%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.20
- Gap %
- -0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $62.03
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.40%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.14%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.60
- Gap %
- -0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.30
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.32%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.30%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -1.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.22
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.61%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.37%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- 0.50%
- Pre-ex close
- $66.34
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.39%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -0.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $66.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.99%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.70%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- 0.27%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.37
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.62%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.27%
NDAQ Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1680%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days315%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
80% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
NDAQ Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with NDAQ's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $62.00
- After-tax dividend
- $40.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$17.11
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$23.19
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.14%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.8%
NDAQ Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical NDAQ ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NDAQ (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.96% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.32% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See NDAQ seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for NDAQ?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Nasdaq (NDAQ), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take NDAQ to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, NDAQ touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 5 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on NDAQ large enough to capture?
NDAQ has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.27 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for NDAQ?
The next ex-dividend date for Nasdaq (NDAQ) is Jun 12, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does NDAQ compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Financial Services, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. NDAQ sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does NDAQ dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.