NEM dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Newmont (NEM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NEM sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 3, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.26.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.27
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.27 | +0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.25% | -0.88pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.71% | +1.23pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.26
Per-event yield
0.23%
Annualized yield
1.08%
Previously paid
May 27, 2026 ($0.26)
Last record date
May 27, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 22, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Newmont (NEM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.26 | -3.23% | $111.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -14.93% | -3.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -6.49% | $128.73 | >30 | no | no | -15.91% | -7.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 1.08% | $86.27 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.04% | +5.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -1.42% | $75.42 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.63% | +5.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -2.05% | $53.65 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.45% | +3.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.90% | $42.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +3.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.09% | $42.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.04% | -2.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 1.28% | $51.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.08% | +2.95% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -2.12% | $41.89 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.37% | -2.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.69% | $31.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.85% | +11.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.53% | $40.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.49% | -1.18% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.29% | $38.84 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +2.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -1.06% | $40.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +4.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.14% | $42.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +9.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -0.25% | $47.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.97% | +1.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -1.15% | $41.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.94% | +4.24% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | 0.21% | $67.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.86% | -0.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | -4.68% | $77.61 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.63% | -5.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -1.37% | $56.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.73% | -2.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.91% | $58.28 | >30 | no | no | -8.17% | -0.03% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with NEM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NEM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.29%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+5.83%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+96.72%
Best event
+1.32%
Worst event
-7.43%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NEM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.03% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +1.32% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.29% | |
| -7.43% | |
| +0.23% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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