News (NWSA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 10 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.20), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NWSA sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 9, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.20-0.07 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 10 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.20 | -0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.28% | +0.20pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.38% | +1.37pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $0.10 |
| Per-event yield | 0.42% |
| Annualized yield | 0.83% |
| Previously paid | Mar 11, 2026 ($0.10) |
| Last record date | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 8, 2026 |
NWSA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for News (NWSA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.10 | -0.54% | $24.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +0.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.71% | $29.42 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.58% | +3.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.41% | $26.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.56% | +1.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.53% | $26.38 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +0.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.15% | $26.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.38% | -2.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.95% | $21.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.56% | -4.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 1.79% | $15.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.06% | +4.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -2.84% | $17.61 | >30 | no | no | -14.71% | -5.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.33% | $21.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +5.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.05% | $21.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +1.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.54% | $26.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.90% | +0.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.26% | $15.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.60% | -3.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 2.07% | $10.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -21.40% | +8.28% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.70% | $14.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.97% | -0.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | -0.46% | $13.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.21% | -3.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.63% | $12.62 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.01% | -0.79% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.06% | $16.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.31% | -0.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.30% | $13.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.75% | -1.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | -1.05% | $12.38 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +2.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -1.05% | $13.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.35% | +2.69% |
- +0.71%
- +3.09%
- +1.19%
- +0.64%
- -2.42%
- -4.71%
- +4.55%
- -5.96%
- +5.83%
- +1.97%
- +0.38%
- -3.07%
- +8.28%
- -0.14%
- -3.07%
- -0.79%
- -0.54%
- -1.42%
- +2.83%
- +2.69%
NWSA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
NWSA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with NWSA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $20.00
- After-tax dividend
- $13.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$4.81
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$8.19
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.17%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~8.6%
NWSA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical NWSA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NWSA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.75% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -5.96% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.42% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.