OTIS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Otis Worldwide (OTIS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, OTIS sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.44.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.21
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.53% | -0.20pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.09% | +0.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 7 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.44
Per-event yield
0.60%
Annualized yield
2.38%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.44)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 12, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Otis Worldwide (OTIS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.44 | -0.79% | $73.06 | 6 | no | yes | -4.57% | +0.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -0.64% | $91.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.46% | -0.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | 0.02% | $90.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.88% | -2.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.14% | $87.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +1.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -0.01% | $97.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.46% | -0.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -0.05% | $98.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +1.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.36% | $99.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +1.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -0.84% | $93.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.42% | +1.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -0.49% | $97.27 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +0.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | 0.59% | $90.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.36% | +3.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.43% | $83.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.47% | +2.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | 0.12% | $85.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.01% | -2.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.19% | $83.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -2.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -1.32% | $84.57 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.18% | -0.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.79% | $78.40 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.67% | +0.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.05% | $80.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.86% | -2.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -1.32% | $72.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +4.38% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -1.07% | $78.87 | 7 | no | yes | -7.32% | -0.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.91% | $85.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.33% | -2.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -1.03% | $90.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.31% | +1.71% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with OTIS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical OTIS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.35%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+7.10%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-13.89%
Best event
+0.48%
Worst event
-0.15%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · OTIS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.27% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -0.15% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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