PCAR dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
PACCAR (PCAR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.41), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PCAR sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.35.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.41
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.41 | +0.24 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.64% | -0.31pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.03% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.35
Per-event yield
0.31%
Annualized yield
2.09%
Previously paid
May 13, 2026 ($0.35)
Last record date
May 13, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 3, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for PACCAR (PCAR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.50% | $113.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | -0.92% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -0.27% | $127.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.56% | -1.45% | |
| Q4 | $1.40 | -0.50% | $111.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +1.20% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -0.20% | $98.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.24% | -1.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | -0.90% | $100.66 | 7 | no | yes | -3.93% | -2.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -0.82% | $96.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.17% | -1.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -1.64% | $106.09 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.79% | +0.66% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -2.55% | $107.51 | 10 | no | yes | -4.53% | -0.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | 0.60% | $116.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.55% | -5.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 0.09% | $93.69 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.04% | +2.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | 0.14% | $106.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | -0.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.16% | $105.19 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.16% | +5.32% | |
| Q4 | $3.20 | -3.06% | $98.06 | 9 | no | yes | -3.46% | +2.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.28% | $85.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.24% | +1.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.62% | $72.80 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.12% | -1.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.51% | $72.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.33% | +1.53% | |
| Q4 | $2.80 | -2.71% | $68.51 | 20 | no | yes | -6.10% | +1.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -0.29% | $68.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +2.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.53% | $62.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.83% | -3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | 1.55% | $56.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.40% | +0.30% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with PCAR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PCAR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.32%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+6.31%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+123.50%
Best event
+2.08%
Worst event
-2.77%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PCAR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +1.23% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +2.08% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.26% | |
| -0.84% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -2.77% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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