PFE dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 80% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Pfizer (PFE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.64), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PFE sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 23, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
80%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.64
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 80% | -20pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.64 | +0.48 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.42% | -1.08pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.07% | -0.76pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.43
Per-event yield
1.72%
Annualized yield
7.01%
Previously paid
Jul 24, 2026 ($0.43)
Last record date
Jul 24, 2026
Last payment date
Sep 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Pfizer (PFE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.43 | -1.56% | $25.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +1.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | -1.21% | $26.48 | 13 | no | yes | -4.87% | -2.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -1.99% | $26.10 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.22% | +2.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -2.09% | $24.85 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.78% | +2.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.43 | -1.50% | $25.35 | 18 | no | yes | -8.84% | -5.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | -2.00% | $22.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.35% | +1.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -1.59% | $26.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.18% | +1.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.27% | $27.46 | >30 | no | no | -10.85% | -8.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.10% | $30.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.43% | +2.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -1.80% | $28.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.36% | +3.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -1.80% | $28.33 | 4 | yes | yes | -6.39% | -2.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.07% | $30.82 | >30 | no | no | -6.13% | -2.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.97% | $37.21 | >30 | no | no | -6.85% | -4.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -1.83% | $38.30 | 8 | no | yes | -5.56% | -3.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | -1.93% | $45.07 | >30 | no | no | -5.26% | -0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.51% | $47.07 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +1.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -2.12% | $51.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.79% | -3.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.91% | $49.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +3.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 0.02% | $53.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.26% | +1.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -1.18% | $44.82 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +12.83% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 4 | 20% | |
| 2–3 days | 8 | 40% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
Pre-filled with PFE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PFE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.54%
Win rate (20 trades)
65%
Cumulative P&L
-10.81%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-26.68%
Best event
+1.87%
Worst event
-8.16%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PFE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.87% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -0.71% | |
| -3.68% | |
| -4.84% | |
| -2.08% | |
| +1.48% | |
| +1.49% | |
| +1.39% | |
| -8.16% | |
| +1.63% | |
| +1.87% | |
| -5.64% | |
| +1.73% | |
| +1.65% | |
| -2.72% | |
| +1.72% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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