Pool (POOL) Dividend Capture: 0.62% per event (2.7% annualized)
POOL
Pool (POOL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.10), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, POOL sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.30.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.10-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.10-0.08 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- 0.03%+0.38pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 50%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.96%in line with sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 4
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.30
- Per-event yield
- 0.62%
- Annualized yield
- 2.70%
- Previously paid
- Mar 12, 2026 ($1.25)
- Last record date
- Mar 12, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 26, 2026
How POOL ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#42of 87
Beats ~52% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#65of 87
Beats ~25% of peers on this metric
POOL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Pool (POOL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.25 | -1.34% | $210.88 | 4 | yes | yes | -6.26% | -2.50% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -0.24% | $254.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.70% | -7.54% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -2.01% | $330.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.47% | -6.30% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | -0.11% | $309.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -1.39% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | -0.13% | $343.56 | >30 | no | no | -7.92% | -5.86% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | 0.03% | $356.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +1.60% | |
| Q3 | $1.20 | 1.38% | $344.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.35% | +1.52% | |
| Q2 | $1.20 | -0.00% | $377.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.10% | -2.30% | |
| Q1 | $1.10 | 0.04% | $405.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.13% | +1.35% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | -0.18% | $330.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +6.18% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -0.30% | $386.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.94% | -4.64% | |
| Q2 | $1.10 | -1.63% | $342.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.57% | -0.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | 1.02% | $346.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.99% | +0.42% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -1.38% | $307.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +9.96% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | 2.91% | $369.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +4.80% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | 0.43% | $403.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.11% | +0.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | 2.00% | $437.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.09% | +7.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.12% | $520.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.90% | +10.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.80 | 0.22% | $484.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.44% | -1.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.80 | 0.01% | $435.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.50% | -1.14% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -1.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $210.88
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.26%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.50%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -0.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $254.31
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.54%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -2.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $330.73
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.47%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.30%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -0.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $309.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.79%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.39%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.20
- Gap %
- -0.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $343.56
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -7.92%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.86%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.20
- Gap %
- 0.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $356.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.87%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.60%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.20
- Gap %
- 1.38%
- Pre-ex close
- $344.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.35%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.52%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.20
- Gap %
- -0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $377.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.10%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.30%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- 0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $405.08
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.13%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.35%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $330.01
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.63%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.18%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -0.30%
- Pre-ex close
- $386.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.94%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.64%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.10
- Gap %
- -1.63%
- Pre-ex close
- $342.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.57%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.87%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- 1.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $346.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.99%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.42%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- -1.38%
- Pre-ex close
- $307.79
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.82%
- P&L 5d %
- +9.96%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- 2.91%
- Pre-ex close
- $369.89
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.57%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.80%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.00
- Gap %
- 0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $403.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.11%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.70%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.80
- Gap %
- 2.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $437.00
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.21%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.80
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $520.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.90%
- P&L 5d %
- +10.36%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.80
- Gap %
- 0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $484.18
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.44%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.39%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.80
- Gap %
- 0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $435.01
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.50%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.14%
POOL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1680%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days15%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+15%
80% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 95% within 30d
POOL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with POOL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $260.00
- After-tax dividend
- $169.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$42.18
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$126.82
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.30%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.2%
POOL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical POOL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · POOL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -5.86% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.59% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See POOL seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for POOL?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Pool (POOL), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take POOL to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, POOL touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 4 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on POOL large enough to capture?
POOL has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.10 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for POOL?
The next ex-dividend date for Pool (POOL) is May 14, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does POOL compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. POOL sits at 95% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does POOL dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.