RJF dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Raymond James Financial (RJF) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RJF sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 1, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.16
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.16 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.22% | +0.36pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.80% | +1.60pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 17 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.54
Per-event yield
0.36%
Annualized yield
1.34%
Previously paid
Jul 1, 2026 ($0.54)
Last record date
Jul 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Raymond James Financial (RJF). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.54 | 0.20% | $152.03 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.13% | +11.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | 0.40% | $144.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.12% | +2.69% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -0.22% | $160.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +4.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -1.70% | $172.60 | 17 | no | yes | -8.26% | -4.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.63% | $153.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.09% | +3.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -1.13% | $138.91 | 2 | yes | yes | -15.36% | -9.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | 0.32% | $155.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | -0.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.38% | $122.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +2.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.04% | $123.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.21% | -3.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.13% | $127.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +1.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.37% | $112.73 | 15 | no | yes | -3.38% | +0.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | 0.36% | $100.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.61% | -1.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | 0.54% | $103.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +0.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | 0.26% | $92.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | -0.55% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.01% | $107.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.21% | +2.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.44% | $98.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.50% | +9.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -1.97% | $90.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.73% | +0.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | 0.43% | $109.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.60% | -0.86% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | 0.43% | $100.40 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +7.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.61% | $93.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +2.71% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with RJF's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical RJF ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.13%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+2.60%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+78.36%
Best event
+0.46%
Worst event
-4.03%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RJF (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.28% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.33% | |
| -4.03% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.36% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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