ResMed (RMD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RMD sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 13, 2026 (±6 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-11pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.07-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -11pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.19% | +0.14pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.35% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±6 days.
| Dividend | $0.60 |
| Per-event yield | 0.23% |
| Annualized yield | 1.19% |
| Previously paid | Feb 12, 2026 ($0.60) |
| Last record date | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 19, 2026 |
RMD Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for ResMed (RMD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.60 | -1.53% | $259.62 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.38% | +0.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.73% | $252.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.37% | -3.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -0.67% | $288.28 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +0.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | 0.43% | $244.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.90% | +1.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | 0.97% | $236.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.56% | -1.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | 0.35% | $245.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.89% | -5.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | 0.55% | $222.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.25% | +0.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -2.22% | $216.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.67% | +2.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.19% | $190.72 | 21 | no | yes | -6.41% | -5.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | 1.49% | $150.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.29% | +1.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.84% | $183.35 | >30 | no | no | -13.35% | -11.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.44 | 0.55% | $231.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.34% | -2.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.44 | -0.78% | $224.45 | >30 | no | no | -5.80% | -4.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | -0.15% | $213.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +5.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.44 | -0.45% | $236.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.52% | -5.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -0.62% | $195.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.98% | -1.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | 0.80% | $241.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.04% | -1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -0.61% | $263.63 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.40% | +1.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.04% | $280.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +1.92% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -1.46% | $194.75 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.53% | -0.26% |
- +0.04%
- -3.30%
- +0.23%
- +1.80%
- -1.85%
- -5.57%
- +0.78%
- +2.29%
- -5.08%
- +1.58%
- -11.38%
- -2.91%
- -4.07%
- +5.39%
- -5.06%
- -1.74%
- -1.27%
- +1.24%
- +1.92%
- -0.26%
RMD Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
RMD Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with RMD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $120.00
- After-tax dividend
- $78.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$51.92
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$26.08
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.05%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~2.5%
RMD Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical RMD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RMD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.20% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -4.07% | |
| +0.19% | |
| -11.38% | |
| +0.32% | |
| -5.08% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.23% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.