Rockwell Automation (ROK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ROK sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 17, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.38.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.14 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.09% | +0.26pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.28% | +0.75pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.38 |
| Per-event yield | 0.35% |
| Annualized yield | 1.17% |
| Previously paid | Feb 23, 2026 ($1.38) |
| Last record date | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
ROK Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Rockwell Automation (ROK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.38 | -1.47% | $398.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.20% | +3.70% | |
| Q4 | $1.38 | -0.82% | $377.13 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +2.29% | |
| Q3 | $1.31 | -0.74% | $342.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +2.63% | |
| Q2 | $1.31 | -1.74% | $309.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | +1.73% | |
| Q1 | $1.31 | 0.33% | $294.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.62% | -1.47% | |
| Q4 | $1.31 | -0.72% | $286.15 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.22% | +4.84% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -0.79% | $258.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +3.22% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | 0.74% | $270.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.21% | +0.19% | |
| Q1 | $1.25 | -0.52% | $281.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -0.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -0.06% | $257.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +7.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.18 | -0.74% | $299.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.80% | -2.19% | |
| Q2 | $1.18 | 0.34% | $270.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +4.44% | |
| Q1 | $1.18 | -0.69% | $295.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.08% | -0.10% | |
| Q4 | $1.18 | 4.82% | $253.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.07% | +2.53% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | -0.08% | $252.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.59% | -0.08% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | 0.47% | $203.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.26% | -1.57% | |
| Q1 | $1.12 | -0.12% | $277.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.62% | -4.19% | |
| Q4 | $1.12 | 0.25% | $329.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +5.95% | |
| Q3 | $1.07 | -0.20% | $317.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.59% | -0.34% | |
| Q2 | $1.07 | 0.44% | $265.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | -1.67% |
- +3.70%
- +2.29%
- +2.63%
- +1.73%
- -1.47%
- +4.84%
- +3.22%
- +0.19%
- -0.82%
- +7.55%
- -2.19%
- +4.44%
- -0.10%
- +2.53%
- -0.08%
- -1.57%
- -4.19%
- +5.95%
- -0.34%
- -1.67%
ROK Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
ROK Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ROK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $276.00
- After-tax dividend
- $179.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$79.76
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$99.64
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.3%
ROK Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ROK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ROK (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.35% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.