Rockwell Automation (ROK) Dividend Capture: 0.35% per event (1.3% annualized)
Rockwell Automation (ROK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ROK sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 18, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.38.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.14in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.07%+0.28pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.28%+0.68pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 5
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.38
- Per-event yield
- 0.35%
- Annualized yield
- 1.25%
- Previously paid
- Feb 23, 2026 ($1.38)
- Last record date
- Feb 23, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 10, 2026
How ROK ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#54of 87
Beats ~38% of peers on this metric
ROK Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Rockwell Automation (ROK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.38 | -1.47% | $398.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.20% | +3.70% | |
| Q4 | $1.38 | -0.82% | $377.13 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +2.29% | |
| Q3 | $1.31 | -0.74% | $342.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +2.63% | |
| Q2 | $1.31 | -1.74% | $309.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | +1.73% | |
| Q1 | $1.31 | 0.33% | $294.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.62% | -1.47% | |
| Q4 | $1.31 | -0.72% | $286.15 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.22% | +4.84% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -0.79% | $258.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +3.22% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | 0.74% | $270.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.21% | +0.19% | |
| Q1 | $1.25 | -0.52% | $281.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -0.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -0.06% | $257.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +7.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.18 | -0.74% | $299.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.80% | -2.19% | |
| Q2 | $1.18 | 0.34% | $270.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +4.44% | |
| Q1 | $1.18 | -0.69% | $295.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.08% | -0.10% | |
| Q4 | $1.18 | 4.82% | $253.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.07% | +2.53% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | -0.08% | $252.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.59% | -0.08% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | 0.47% | $203.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.26% | -1.57% | |
| Q1 | $1.12 | -0.12% | $277.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.62% | -4.19% | |
| Q4 | $1.12 | 0.25% | $329.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +5.95% | |
| Q3 | $1.07 | -0.20% | $317.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.59% | -0.34% | |
| Q2 | $1.07 | 0.44% | $265.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | -1.67% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.38
- Gap %
- -1.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $398.79
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.20%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.70%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.38
- Gap %
- -0.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $377.13
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.50%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.29%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.31
- Gap %
- -0.74%
- Pre-ex close
- $342.28
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.50%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.63%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.31
- Gap %
- -1.74%
- Pre-ex close
- $309.05
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.35%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.73%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.31
- Gap %
- 0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $294.40
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.47%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.31
- Gap %
- -0.72%
- Pre-ex close
- $286.15
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.22%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.84%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -0.79%
- Pre-ex close
- $258.15
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.53%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.22%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- 0.74%
- Pre-ex close
- $270.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.19%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -0.52%
- Pre-ex close
- $281.38
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.82%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.25
- Gap %
- -0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $257.11
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.18%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.55%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.18
- Gap %
- -0.74%
- Pre-ex close
- $299.26
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.80%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.19%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.18
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $270.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.77%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.44%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.18
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $295.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.08%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.10%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.18
- Gap %
- 4.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $253.45
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.53%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $252.92
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.08%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- 0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $203.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.26%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.57%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $277.33
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.19%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.12
- Gap %
- 0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $329.66
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.34%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.95%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.07
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $317.19
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.34%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.07
- Gap %
- 0.44%
- Pre-ex close
- $265.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.64%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.67%
ROK Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1680%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
80% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
ROK Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ROK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $276.00
- After-tax dividend
- $179.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$79.76
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$99.64
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.3%
ROK Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ROK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ROK (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.35% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See ROK seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for ROK?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Rockwell Automation (ROK), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take ROK to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, ROK touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 5 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on ROK large enough to capture?
ROK has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.14 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for ROK?
The next ex-dividend date for Rockwell Automation (ROK) is May 18, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does ROK compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. ROK sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does ROK dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.