Rollins (ROL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ROL sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 10, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.14 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.25% | +0.22pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.79% | +1.89pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.18 |
| Per-event yield | 0.30% |
| Annualized yield | 1.35% |
| Previously paid | Feb 25, 2026 ($0.18) |
| Last record date | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
ROL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Rollins (ROL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.18 | -0.45% | $60.51 | 3 | yes | yes | -8.33% | -3.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -1.13% | $58.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.41% | -0.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.07% | $58.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.09% | -2.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.49% | $56.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.77% | +1.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.04% | $51.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.19% | +2.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.00% | $50.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -2.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.19% | $47.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +3.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.13% | $46.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +1.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -0.41% | $41.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.71% | +4.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.00% | $38.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +4.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | -0.20% | $40.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.84% | +2.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | 0.00% | $41.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +1.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -0.11% | $35.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +2.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -0.60% | $42.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.40% | +0.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.21% | $37.78 | 6 | no | yes | -4.50% | -0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -1.00% | $34.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.53% | +2.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.56% | $30.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.49% | +3.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.53% | $35.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.18% | $38.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | -1.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.43% | $36.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.98% | +0.08% |
- -3.85%
- -0.80%
- -2.36%
- +1.54%
- +2.46%
- -2.37%
- +3.12%
- +1.24%
- +4.36%
- +4.46%
- +2.62%
- +1.06%
- +2.17%
- +0.38%
- -0.50%
- +2.59%
- +3.49%
- +1.31%
- -1.31%
- +0.08%
ROL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
ROL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ROL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $36.00
- After-tax dividend
- $23.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$12.10
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$11.30
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.09%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.7%
ROL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ROL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ROL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.29% | |
| -0.50% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.30% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.