Rollins (ROL) Dividend Capture: 0.30% per event (1.3% annualized)

ROL
Rollins (ROL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ROL sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 11, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.18.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14-0.08 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.14-0.08 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.26%+0.15pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 70%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.79%+1.89pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 6
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Per-event yield
- 0.30%
- Annualized yield
- 1.32%
- Previously paid
- Feb 25, 2026 ($0.18)
- Last record date
- Feb 25, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 10, 2026
How ROL ranks in Consumer Cyclical
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (44 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 44
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 44
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#31of 44
Beats ~30% of peers on this metric
ROL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Rollins (ROL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.18 | -0.45% | $60.51 | 3 | yes | yes | -8.33% | -3.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -1.13% | $58.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.41% | -0.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.07% | $58.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.09% | -2.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.49% | $56.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.77% | +1.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.04% | $51.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.19% | +2.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.00% | $50.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -2.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.19% | $47.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +3.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.13% | $46.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +1.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -0.41% | $41.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.71% | +4.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.00% | $38.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +4.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | -0.20% | $40.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.84% | +2.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | 0.00% | $41.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +1.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -0.11% | $35.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +2.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -0.60% | $42.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.40% | +0.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | -0.21% | $37.78 | 6 | no | yes | -4.50% | -0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -1.00% | $34.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.53% | +2.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.56% | $30.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.49% | +3.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.53% | $35.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.18% | $38.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | -1.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.43% | $36.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.98% | +0.08% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.51
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.33%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.85%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -1.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $58.61
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.80%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- -0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $58.64
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.09%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.36%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- -0.49%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.72
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.77%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.54%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- -0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $51.42
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.19%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.46%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.17
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $50.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.32%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.37%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- -0.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $47.79
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.59%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.12%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- -0.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $46.64
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.80%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.24%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- -0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $41.05
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.71%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.36%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.15
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $38.09
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.26%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.46%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $40.45
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.84%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.62%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $41.67
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.06%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -0.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $35.54
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.63%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.17%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -0.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $42.00
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.40%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.38%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.10
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $37.78
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.50%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.50%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.10
- Gap %
- -1.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $34.03
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.53%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.59%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.10
- Gap %
- 0.56%
- Pre-ex close
- $30.41
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.49%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $35.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.85%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.31%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- 0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $38.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.31%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.08
- Gap %
- -0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $36.97
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.98%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.08%
ROL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1890%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
90% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
ROL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ROL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $36.00
- After-tax dividend
- $23.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$12.10
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$11.30
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.09%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.7%
ROL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ROL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ROL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.29% | |
| -0.50% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.30% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See ROL seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for ROL?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Rollins (ROL), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take ROL to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, ROL touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 6 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on ROL large enough to capture?
ROL has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.14 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for ROL?
The next ex-dividend date for Rollins (ROL) is May 11, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does ROL compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Consumer Cyclical, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. ROL sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does ROL dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.