TickerLeague

RTX (RTX) Dividend Capture: 0.36% per event (1.6% annualized)

Updated May 6, 202620 eventshigh
RTX Corporation logo
RTX

RTX

RTX (RTX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.31), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.

Versus its sector, RTX sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.

Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 22, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.73.

Touch rate (30d)
100%+5pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch
1din line with sector
Signal-to-noise
0.31+0.13 vs sector

Recovery engine

TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.

30-day touch rate
100%
+5pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch
1d
in line with sector
Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
0.31
+0.13 vs sector
Avg gap on ex-date
-0.54%
-0.19pp vs sector
Win rate at MOC exit
65%
Median drawdown during hold
-2.65%
+1.32pp vs sector
Best / worst touch (days)
1 / 4

Next ex-dividend

Confirmed by company declaration.

in 15 days
Dividend
$0.73
Per-event yield
0.36%
Annualized yield
1.60%
Previously paid
Feb 20, 2026 ($0.68)
Last record date
Feb 20, 2026
Last payment date
Mar 19, 2026

How RTX ranks in Industrials

Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.

Full sector ranking
  • 30-day touch rate
    #1of 87

    Beats ~99% of peers on this metric

  • Median days to touch
    #1of 87

    Beats ~99% of peers on this metric

  • Signal-to-noise
    #15of 87

    Beats ~83% of peers on this metric

RTX Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events

Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for RTX (RTX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.

  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.68
    Gap %
    0.04%
    Pre-ex close
    $205.41
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -6.23%
    P&L 5d %
    -1.03%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.68
    Gap %
    -0.27%
    Pre-ex close
    $172.73
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.47%
    P&L 5d %
    -2.33%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.68
    Gap %
    -0.53%
    Pre-ex close
    $155.08
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.28%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.19%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.68
    Gap %
    -1.66%
    Pre-ex close
    $134.07
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.36%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.04%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.63
    Gap %
    -0.44%
    Pre-ex close
    $125.11
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.94%
    P&L 5d %
    +6.80%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.63
    Gap %
    -0.65%
    Pre-ex close
    $118.92
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.51%
    P&L 5d %
    +2.09%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.63
    Gap %
    -0.41%
    Pre-ex close
    $118.36
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.19%
    P&L 5d %
    +0.67%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.63
    Gap %
    -0.81%
    Pre-ex close
    $105.35
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.56%
    P&L 5d %
    +0.65%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.59
    Gap %
    -0.54%
    Pre-ex close
    $90.21
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.45%
    P&L 5d %
    +0.06%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.59
    Gap %
    -0.20%
    Pre-ex close
    $80.63
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.26%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.07%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.59
    Gap %
    -0.21%
    Pre-ex close
    $85.14
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.72%
    P&L 5d %
    +0.70%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.59
    Gap %
    -0.81%
    Pre-ex close
    $96.57
    High touch (td)
    2
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -4.78%
    P&L 5d %
    -2.96%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.55
    Gap %
    0.01%
    Pre-ex close
    $100.51
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.83%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.96%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.55
    Gap %
    -1.42%
    Pre-ex close
    $94.35
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.56%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.89%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.55
    Gap %
    -0.15%
    Pre-ex close
    $94.99
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -5.56%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.78%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.55
    Gap %
    -1.33%
    Pre-ex close
    $92.61
    High touch (td)
    4
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -4.51%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.17%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.51
    Gap %
    0.82%
    Pre-ex close
    $92.24
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.18%
    P&L 5d %
    +8.78%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.51
    Gap %
    -0.30%
    Pre-ex close
    $87.45
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -9.66%
    P&L 5d %
    -4.51%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.51
    Gap %
    -1.35%
    Pre-ex close
    $85.48
    High touch (td)
    3
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.94%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.25%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.51
    Gap %
    -0.55%
    Pre-ex close
    $85.21
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.31%
    P&L 5d %
    +4.59%

RTX Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution

20 events analyzedHigh touched pre-ex within 5 trading days: 100% (20 events)
  • ≤ 1 day
    1260%
  • 2–3 days
    735%
  • 4–5 days
    15%
  • 6–10 days
    00%
  • 11–30 days
    00%
  • 30+
    00%

60% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d

RTX Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield

Pre-filled with RTX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.

Slippage preset

Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.

Display
Gross dividend
$146.00
After-tax dividend
$94.90
Slippage round-trip
-$41.08

Net if price returns to pre-ex
+$53.82
Required recovery to break even
0.00%

Per-event after-tax yield
+0.13%
Annual if all succeed
~6.6%
Scenariosbase rate 100%
Best (limit fills)+$53.82
Average (base rate)+$53.82
Worst (no recovery)$92.18

Open in full calculator →

RTX Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator

Replay every historical RTX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.

Limit window:Quarter:

Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).

Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).

Avg P&L per trade(20 events)+0.56%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
i
+11.16%Sum of per-event % (not compounded)
Buy & hold (same sample)
i
+154.38%Span: May 20, 2021 → Feb 20, 2026 · long-horizon total return vs repeating capture cycles
Best event
+0.73%
Worst event
0.33%

Cumulative P&L (equity curve)

Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.

+11.2%+0.0%May 20, 2021 · cumulative +0.60% (sum of returns through this event)Aug 19, 2021 · cumulative +1.20% (sum of returns through this event)Nov 18, 2021 · cumulative +1.78% (sum of returns through this event)Feb 24, 2022 · cumulative +2.33% (sum of returns through this event)May 19, 2022 · cumulative +2.93% (sum of returns through this event)Aug 18, 2022 · cumulative +3.50% (sum of returns through this event)Nov 17, 2022 · cumulative +4.09% (sum of returns through this event)Feb 23, 2023 · cumulative +4.63% (sum of returns through this event)May 18, 2023 · cumulative +5.25% (sum of returns through this event)Aug 17, 2023 · cumulative +5.94% (sum of returns through this event)Nov 16, 2023 · cumulative +6.67% (sum of returns through this event)Feb 22, 2024 · cumulative +7.32% (sum of returns through this event)May 16, 2024 · cumulative +7.92% (sum of returns through this event)Aug 16, 2024 · cumulative +8.45% (sum of returns through this event)Nov 15, 2024 · cumulative +8.98% (sum of returns through this event)Feb 21, 2025 · cumulative +9.49% (sum of returns through this event)May 23, 2025 · cumulative +9.99% (sum of returns through this event)Aug 15, 2025 · cumulative +10.43% (sum of returns through this event)Nov 21, 2025 · cumulative +10.83% (sum of returns through this event)Feb 20, 2026 · cumulative +11.16% (sum of returns through this event)
May 20, 2021Feb 20, 2026

Per-event P&L distribution

20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).

 
<-3%
 
-3..-1%
 
-1..0%
 
0%
20
0..1%
 
1..3%
 
>3%

Scenario P&L by event · RTX (20)

Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.

Ex-dateP&L
+0.60%
+0.60%
+0.58%
+0.55%
+0.59%
+0.58%
+0.58%
+0.55%
+0.61%
+0.69%
+0.73%
+0.65%
+0.60%
+0.53%
+0.53%
+0.50%
+0.51%
+0.44%
+0.39%
+0.33%

Looking for full price seasonality? See RTX seasonality →

Frequently asked questions

What is the dividend capture success rate for RTX?

Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for RTX (RTX), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.

How long does it take RTX to recover its dividend gap?

Historically, RTX touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 4 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.

Is the dividend on RTX large enough to capture?

RTX has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.31 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.

When is the next ex-dividend date for RTX?

The next ex-dividend date for RTX (RTX) is May 22, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).

How does RTX compare to its sector for dividend capture?

Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. RTX sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.

Why does RTX dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?

A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".

How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?

Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.

What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?

Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.