RTX (RTX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.31), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RTX sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 21, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.31+0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.31 | +0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.54% | -0.18pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.65% | +1.38pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $0.73 |
| Per-event yield | 0.36% |
| Annualized yield | 1.56% |
| Previously paid | Feb 20, 2026 ($0.68) |
| Last record date | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 19, 2026 |
RTX Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for RTX (RTX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.68 | 0.04% | $205.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.23% | -1.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -0.27% | $172.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.47% | -2.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -0.53% | $155.08 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +1.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -1.66% | $134.07 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +3.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -0.44% | $125.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.94% | +6.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.65% | $118.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +2.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.41% | $118.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.19% | +0.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -0.81% | $105.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +0.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -0.54% | $90.21 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +0.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -0.20% | $80.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | -0.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.21% | $85.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +0.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.81% | $96.57 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.78% | -2.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | 0.01% | $100.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | -0.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -1.42% | $94.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +3.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.15% | $94.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.56% | +1.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | -1.33% | $92.61 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.51% | +3.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.82% | $92.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.18% | +8.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.30% | $87.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.66% | -4.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -1.35% | $85.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.94% | -0.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.55% | $85.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.31% | +4.59% |
- -1.03%
- -2.33%
- +1.19%
- +3.04%
- +6.80%
- +2.09%
- +0.67%
- +0.65%
- +0.06%
- -0.07%
- +0.70%
- -2.96%
- -0.96%
- +3.89%
- +1.78%
- +3.17%
- +8.78%
- -4.51%
- -0.25%
- +4.59%
RTX Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
RTX Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with RTX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $146.00
- After-tax dividend
- $94.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$41.08
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$53.82
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.13%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.6%
RTX Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical RTX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RTX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.33% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.