Snap-on (SNA) Dividend Capture: 0.63% per event (2.5% annualized)
SNA
Snap-on (SNA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SNA sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 20, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.44.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.34+0.15 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.34+0.15 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.39%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 60%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.57%+1.40pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 20
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $2.44
- Per-event yield
- 0.63%
- Annualized yield
- 2.50%
- Previously paid
- Feb 24, 2026 ($2.44)
- Last record date
- Feb 24, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 10, 2026
How SNA ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#42of 87
Beats ~52% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#11of 87
Beats ~87% of peers on this metric
SNA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Snap-on (SNA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $2.44 | -0.36% | $385.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.16% | +0.24% | |
| Q4 | $2.44 | -0.07% | $331.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.37% | +2.93% | |
| Q3 | $2.14 | -0.52% | $323.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +2.70% | |
| Q2 | $2.14 | -1.03% | $331.92 | >30 | no | no | -5.37% | -2.85% | |
| Q1 | $2.14 | -0.37% | $335.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.29% | +0.10% | |
| Q4 | $2.14 | -0.50% | $357.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.50% | +3.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.86 | -0.25% | $276.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +3.14% | |
| Q2 | $1.86 | -0.14% | $276.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -1.47% | |
| Q1 | $1.86 | -0.37% | $271.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.92% | |
| Q4 | $1.86 | -0.67% | $277.76 | 9 | no | yes | -2.63% | -1.78% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | -0.01% | $267.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | -1.49% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | 0.84% | $257.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | -0.06% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.42% | $246.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +1.18% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | 0.55% | $234.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +2.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.42 | -0.37% | $231.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.54% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | -1.48% | $216.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | +1.98% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -0.45% | $215.47 | 20 | no | yes | -8.22% | -5.59% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.26% | $217.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -2.23% | |
| Q3 | $1.23 | -1.60% | $220.35 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.51% | +2.59% | |
| Q2 | $1.23 | -0.35% | $249.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +2.33% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.44
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $385.37
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.16%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.24%
Q4
- Dividend
- $2.44
- Gap %
- -0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $331.22
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.37%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.93%
Q3
- Dividend
- $2.14
- Gap %
- -0.52%
- Pre-ex close
- $323.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.72%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.70%
Q2
- Dividend
- $2.14
- Gap %
- -1.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $331.92
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -5.37%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.85%
Q1
- Dividend
- $2.14
- Gap %
- -0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $335.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.29%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.10%
Q4
- Dividend
- $2.14
- Gap %
- -0.50%
- Pre-ex close
- $357.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.50%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.91%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.86
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $276.19
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.58%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.14%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.86
- Gap %
- -0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $276.81
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.40%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.47%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.86
- Gap %
- -0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $271.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.97%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.92%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.86
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $277.76
- High touch (td)
- 9
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.63%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.78%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.62
- Gap %
- -0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $267.70
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.10%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.49%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.62
- Gap %
- 0.84%
- Pre-ex close
- $257.53
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.82%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.06%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.62
- Gap %
- -0.42%
- Pre-ex close
- $246.01
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.26%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.18%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.62
- Gap %
- 0.55%
- Pre-ex close
- $234.37
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.58%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.55%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $231.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.96%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -1.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $216.40
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.64%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.98%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $215.47
- High touch (td)
- 20
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.22%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.59%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.42
- Gap %
- -0.26%
- Pre-ex close
- $217.58
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.84%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.23%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.23
- Gap %
- -1.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $220.35
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.51%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.59%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.23
- Gap %
- -0.35%
- Pre-ex close
- $249.12
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.33%
SNA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1575%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+15%
75% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 95% within 30d
SNA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SNA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $488.00
- After-tax dividend
- $317.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$77.07
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$240.13
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.31%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.7%
SNA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SNA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SNA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.49% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.65% | |
| -5.59% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -1.78% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -2.85% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.63% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See SNA seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for SNA?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Snap-on (SNA), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take SNA to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, SNA touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 20 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on SNA large enough to capture?
SNA has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.34 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for SNA?
The next ex-dividend date for Snap-on (SNA) is May 20, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does SNA compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. SNA sits at 95% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does SNA dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.