SNA dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Snap-on (SNA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SNA sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 22, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.34
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.34 | +0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.38% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.57% | +1.46pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
Dividend
$2.44
Per-event yield
0.68%
Annualized yield
2.60%
Previously paid
May 20, 2026 ($2.44)
Last record date
May 20, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Snap-on (SNA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $2.44 | -0.19% | $359.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.04% | +4.71% | |
| Q1 | $2.44 | -0.36% | $385.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.16% | +0.24% | |
| Q4 | $2.44 | -0.07% | $331.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.37% | +2.93% | |
| Q3 | $2.14 | -0.52% | $323.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +2.70% | |
| Q2 | $2.14 | -1.03% | $331.92 | >30 | no | no | -5.37% | -2.85% | |
| Q1 | $2.14 | -0.37% | $335.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.29% | +0.10% | |
| Q4 | $2.14 | -0.50% | $357.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.50% | +3.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.86 | -0.25% | $276.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +3.14% | |
| Q2 | $1.86 | -0.14% | $276.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -1.47% | |
| Q1 | $1.86 | -0.37% | $271.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.92% | |
| Q4 | $1.86 | -0.67% | $277.76 | 9 | no | yes | -2.63% | -1.78% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | -0.01% | $267.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | -1.49% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | 0.84% | $257.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | -0.06% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.42% | $246.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +1.18% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | 0.55% | $234.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +2.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.42 | -0.37% | $231.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.54% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | -1.48% | $216.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | +1.98% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -0.45% | $215.47 | 20 | no | yes | -8.22% | -5.59% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.26% | $217.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -2.23% | |
| Q3 | $1.23 | -1.60% | $220.35 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.51% | +2.59% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with SNA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SNA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.04%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+0.82%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+81.54%
Best event
+0.74%
Worst event
-5.59%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SNA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.56% | |
| +0.65% | |
| -5.59% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -1.78% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -2.85% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.68% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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