Snap-on (SNA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.35), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SNA sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 22, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.35+0.16 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.35 | +0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.39% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.57% | +1.46pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $2.44 |
| Per-event yield | 0.63% |
| Annualized yield | 2.60% |
| Previously paid | Feb 24, 2026 ($2.44) |
| Last record date | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
SNA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Snap-on (SNA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $2.44 | -0.36% | $385.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.16% | +0.24% | |
| Q4 | $2.44 | -0.07% | $331.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.37% | +2.93% | |
| Q3 | $2.14 | -0.52% | $323.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +2.70% | |
| Q2 | $2.14 | -1.03% | $331.92 | >30 | no | no | -5.37% | -2.85% | |
| Q1 | $2.14 | -0.37% | $335.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.29% | +0.10% | |
| Q4 | $2.14 | -0.50% | $357.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.50% | +3.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.86 | -0.25% | $276.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +3.14% | |
| Q2 | $1.86 | -0.14% | $276.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -1.47% | |
| Q1 | $1.86 | -0.37% | $271.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.92% | |
| Q4 | $1.86 | -0.67% | $277.76 | 9 | no | yes | -2.63% | -1.78% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | -0.01% | $267.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | -1.49% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | 0.84% | $257.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | -0.06% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.42% | $246.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +1.18% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | 0.55% | $234.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +2.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.42 | -0.37% | $231.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.54% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | -1.48% | $216.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | +1.98% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -0.45% | $215.47 | 20 | no | yes | -8.22% | -5.59% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.26% | $217.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -2.23% | |
| Q3 | $1.23 | -1.60% | $220.35 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.51% | +2.59% | |
| Q2 | $1.23 | -0.35% | $249.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +2.33% |
- +0.24%
- +2.93%
- +2.70%
- -2.85%
- +0.10%
- +3.91%
- +3.14%
- -1.47%
- +2.92%
- -1.78%
- -1.49%
- -0.06%
- +1.18%
- +2.55%
- -0.96%
- +1.98%
- -5.59%
- -2.23%
- +2.59%
- +2.33%
SNA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
SNA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SNA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $488.00
- After-tax dividend
- $317.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$77.07
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$240.13
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.31%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.7%
SNA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SNA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SNA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.49% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.65% | |
| -5.59% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -1.78% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -2.85% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.63% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.