STT dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
State Street (STT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.35), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, STT sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Oct 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.92.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.35
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.35 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.76% | -0.17pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.98% | +0.42pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.92
Per-event yield
0.54%
Annualized yield
1.87%
Previously paid
Jul 1, 2026 ($0.84)
Last record date
Jul 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 13, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for State Street (STT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.84 | -0.50% | $169.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.93% | +6.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.84 | 0.51% | $126.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.73% | +10.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.84 | -0.33% | $129.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | +3.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.84 | -1.21% | $116.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.43% | +1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.76 | -1.01% | $106.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.10% | +3.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.76 | -1.17% | $89.53 | 2 | yes | yes | -18.68% | -15.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.76 | -0.02% | $98.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.38% | -3.55% | |
| Q4 | $0.76 | -1.10% | $88.47 | 6 | no | yes | -3.87% | +0.97% | |
| Q3 | $0.69 | -0.45% | $74.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +1.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.69 | -0.30% | $76.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.24% | -0.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.69 | -0.75% | $78.42 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.57% | +0.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.69 | -0.27% | $67.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.59% | -2.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | 0.36% | $73.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.96% | +2.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -0.32% | $75.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.12% | +3.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -1.54% | $78.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +4.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.29% | $61.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.02% | +1.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -3.70% | $64.08 | 6 | no | yes | -8.24% | -0.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | -2.04% | $92.11 | >30 | no | no | -12.31% | -8.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | -1.01% | $93.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +9.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | 0.00% | $86.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | +3.59% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with STT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical STT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.27%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+5.39%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+112.19%
Best event
+1.02%
Worst event
-8.23%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · STT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.66% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -8.23% | |
| -0.75% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.50% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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